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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Rally Capped at 3-Month High

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Rally Capped at 3-Month High

2015-04-20 20:25:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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Talking Points:

  • NZD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.7597, 0.7494, 0.7406
  • Resistance:0.7700, 0.7828, 0.8034

The New Zealand Dollar corrected downward against its US namesake after spiking to the highest level in three months. A daily close above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 0.7700 exposes the 76.4% level at 0.7828. Alternatively, a reversal below 0.7597 (50% Fib, trend line resistance-turned-support) clears the way for a challenge of the 38.2% level at 0.7494.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering long with prices in close proximity to resistance. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bearish reversal signal suggests taking up the short side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for an actionable opportunity to present itself.

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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Rally Capped at 3-Month High

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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