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Forex: NZD/USD Technical Analysis – Kiwi Builds on Resistance Break

Forex: NZD/USD Technical Analysis – Kiwi Builds on Resistance Break

2014-03-06 00:58:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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Talking Points:

  • NZD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.8380 (trend line, 38.2% Fib exp.), 0.8254 (23.6% Fib exp.)
  • Resistance: 0.8481 (50% Fib exp.), 0.8583 (61.8% Fib exp.)

The New Zealand Dollar continued to push higher after yesterday’s break of resistance at 0.8380 marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion and a falling trend line set from mid-October. The next layer upside barrier of significance lines up at 0.8481, the 50% Fib, with a further push beyond that eyeing the 61.8% level at 0.8583. Alternatively, a reversal back below 0.8380 eyes the 23.6% level at 0.8254.

We begrudgingly opted not to pursue a long position yesterday, worrying that the Kiwi’s sensitivity to risk appetite trends cast doubt on the probability of follow-through as sentiment continues to hinge on a fluid geopolitical crisis in the Ukraine. We remain leery as bearish cues in S&P 500 positioning warn of a risk-averse turn in the markets’ mood ahead and will continue to observe from the sidelines for now.

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dailyclassics_nzd-usd_body_Picture_11.png, Forex: NZD/USD Technical Analysis – Kiwi Builds on Resistance Break

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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