Nikkei 225 Technical Analysis Talking Points:
- The Japanese stock benchmark is back to one-week highs
- An important retracement level provided the base for this latest uptick
- However overall risk appetite remains in control
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The Nikkei 225 has bounced this week at what looks like quite key support on its daily chart and, despite plentiful economic uncertainties, has powered back up to highs not seen for a week.
That support zone comes in between the closing and intraday lows of October. It was traded out of once again pretty quickly to the upside this week.
Tellingly, it coincides with the second, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the rise up to this year’s highs from the lows of June, 2016 and it has held firm, just about, since the index topped it back in October 2017.
It’s reasonable to assume that this region is keeping the index from rather deeper trouble, with this year’s low of 20372 in prospect if it breaks and, possibly, the next, 50% retracement level which comes in at 19632.
While that support holds, however, the bulls have at least a chance to build a base even if 2018’s highs don’t look reachable anytime soon. They will probably need to top the previous significant high quite shortly if the current modest revival is to gain pace. That was the 22765 level, hit at the start of December.
It might be best at this point to play for more upside for as long as that support zone holds on a daily closing basis, with a weekly close possibly even more encouraging. These are volatile times for global equity though, with overall risk appetite clearly able to trump technical factors at any given moment.
Disciplined use of stops is therefore essential.
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--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research
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