Skip to Content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
More View More
Technical Analysis: Nikkei Bulls Must Get Back in the Box

Technical Analysis: Nikkei Bulls Must Get Back in the Box

David Cottle, Analyst

Talking Points:

  • The Nikkei 225 has broken its 2017 trading range to the downside
  • If it can’t get back on bullish track then the whole of the climb up from late 2016’s lows is threatened
  • So far this isn’t looking likely

Would you like to know more about trading the financial markets? DailyFX’s trading guide should be your first stop.

On the basis that a picture is worth a thousand words, this piece starts with one:

Range Break - Nikkei 225

Chart Compiled Using TradingView

The chart above hopefully well illustrates the parlous state in which the Nikkei 225 finds itself. The shaded box contains the meandering trading range in which the index has stayed ever since its long climb from October 2016’s lows topped out.

Within that wide, 1000-point band there have been seven ultimately rejected attempts to beak higher and nine times when the index has built a base at or near the lower edge of the box.

But it has remained within the box. That is until late last week when it slipped out, to the downside.

As we can see the Nikkei has now strayed beyond the lower bound, which for our purposes is 18735. That’s January 17’s closing low, hitherto quite strong support and the previous closing-low point for the year. The falling trendline which was last week’s focus has only deepened, and continues as growing resistance.

If they can’t get the index back into its previous range, the bulls will likely have to fight every closing point of that long climb upward, and even a return to the October lows around 16265 is unlikely to be the end of their problems. Below them lurks the 15044 which arrested the index’s fall back in June 2016.

--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Contact and follow David on Twitter: @DavidCottleFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.