News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 Housing Starts YoY (JUN) due at 05:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 7.2% Previous: 9.9% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-30
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.51%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 76.17%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/t2pDS9yUBK
  • Forex sentiment analysis can be a useful tool to help traders understand and act on price behavior. Learn how to get the most out of understanding trader sentiment here: https://t.co/rJznrXkcYz https://t.co/OG6fzgyFAD
  • Forex Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: -0.03% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.03% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.07% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.09% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.09% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.14% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/DebOdcQabP
  • Indices Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: -0.31% FTSE 100: -0.51% Germany 30: -0.69% US 500: -0.75% France 40: -0.76% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/iUg2nPVyUQ
  • Emotions are often a key driving force behind FOMO. If left unchecked, they can lead traders to neglect trading plans and exceed comfortable levels of risk. Read on and get your emotions in check here: https://t.co/eILWbFgHRE https://t.co/3slfUlBMvq
  • The Swiss Franc’s technical stance against the New Zealand Dollar and Japanese Yen has brightened, with the technical outlook in NZD/CHF and CHF/JPY primed to benefit CHF. Get your market update from @FxWestwater here:https://t.co/u4GY00QpgC https://t.co/WyAsQcl1Ra
  • 🇸🇬 Unemployment Rate Prel (Q2) Actual: 2.7% Previous: 2.9% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-30
  • Commodities Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.25% Gold: 0.03% Oil - US Crude: -0.52% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/bgDO7ntMjQ
  • The Citi Economic Surprise Index tracking the US just turned negative for the first time since June 2020 This means economists are now overestimating the health and vigor of the economy, opening the door to disappointment ahead This does note bode well for NFPs next week...
DAX – More Selling Ahead? Keep an Eye on These Levels

DAX – More Selling Ahead? Keep an Eye on These Levels

Paul Robinson, Strategist

What’s inside:

  • DAX trying to follow through on yesterday’s minor reversal
  • 12660 area key resistance in the near-term
  • Looking lower below 12400 lies the biggest interest from a dip-buying perspective

Find out what’s driving global equity markets in our market forecasts.

The other day we took a close-up look at the DAX on the hourly chart, and one of the levels we made note of as support was right around 12660. It was undercut with ease and by a fairly wide margin once U.S. equities opened and investors ran for the hills on uncertainty surrounding the Trump presidency.

In the process, the market also closed well below the February top-side trend-line it was leaning on as support for the week or so before. So far, yesterday’s reversal day is showing a little follow-through this morning, but we’ll be quickly looking at 12660 as a hurdle to overcome if the DAX is to see the bounce grow legs and become a full-blown rally. For now, it’s resistance until it’s not. A move beyond 12660 will bring attention towards the underside of the Feb trend-line, and possibly new highs.

It’s still a little unclear whether this week’s down-move is all we’ll see, or whether another wave of selling will push the market lower. The thinking on this end is we will see another leg lower before making a serious attempt to resume higher. It’d be preferable, too, as key levels of support have not yet been met. Ideally, we see a move to the old record highs under 12400 and/or (depending on whether they collide for confluence or not) the trend-line rising up from December under the April swing-low.

Getting to the point: 12660 is our focal point as resistance; maintain below there on a closing basis and the market will continue to be vulnerable to further selling. A move beyond will bring the underbelly of the Feb trend-line into play, but may also mean the market is gearing up for another run at record levels. Yesterday’s low at 12490 is our first level of support followed by much more significant support around 12390/75 and the December/April trend-line.

DAX: Daily

DAX – More Selling Ahead? Keep an Eye on These Levels

Paul conducts webinars every week from Tuesday-Friday. See the Webinar Calendar for details, and the full line-up of all upcoming live events.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can receive Paul’s analysis directly via email by signing up here.

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinonFX.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES