News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • Heads Up:🇦🇺 Balance of Trade (JUN) due at 01:30 GMT (15min) Expected: A$10.45B Previous: A$9.681B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-05
  • S&P 500 Falls on Weaker ADP Jobs Report, Hang Seng to Open Flat https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/08/05/SP-500-Falls-on-Weaker-ADP-Jobs-Report-Hang-Seng-to-Open-Flat-.html https://t.co/Pql6w44nPl
  • 🇵🇭 Inflation Rate YoY (JUL) Actual: 4% Expected: 3.9% Previous: 4.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-05
  • Heads Up:🇵🇭 Inflation Rate YoY (JUL) due at 01:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 3.9% Previous: 4.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-05
  • The Australian Dollar may face swelling selling pressure from souring risk appetite over the COVID-19 delta variant and escalating tension with China. Get your $AUD markt update from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/Vy81GwhvzP https://t.co/U5PgkYUot6
  • (ASEAN Tech) US Dollar Outlook Bearish: Thai Baht Still at Risk as SGD, PHP, IDR Outperform #USD $USDSGD $USDIDR $USDTHB $USDPHP https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/special_report/2021/08/05/US-Dollar-Outlook-Bearish-Thai-Baht-Still-at-Risk-as-SGD-PHP-IDR-Outperform.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/hvFwh6eTTg
  • 🇯🇵 Foreign Bond Investment (31/JUL) Actual: ¥225.6B Previous: ¥-1083B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-04
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 Foreign Bond Investment (31/JUL) due at 23:50 GMT (15min) Previous: ¥1087.4B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-04
  • Natural gas continues to look higher, as hot weather and drought conditions across the United States and Europe, help fuel the already strong demand narrative for the commodity. Get your market update from @FxWestwater here:https://t.co/n1iT64aBM4 https://t.co/zsnejKOPvq
  • 9 out of 11 S&P 500 sectors ended lower, with 76% of the index’s constituents closing in the red. Energy (-2.93%), industrials (-1.37%) and consumer staples (-1.26%) underperformed, whereas communication services (+0.23%) and information technology (+0.19%) ended higher. https://t.co/ZhikvkT3L6
DAX Short-term Trading Outlook: Gap Lower Finds Early Buying

DAX Short-term Trading Outlook: Gap Lower Finds Early Buying

Paul Robinson, Strategist

What’s inside:

  • DAX gapped lower on US political/Trump concerns
  • Working on taking back the gap
  • Short-term support and resistance levels outlined

Find out what’s driving the DAX & Euro, among other markets. See our market forecasts for details.

We’ve been looking at the daily landscape, today we’ll take a close-up look (hourly time-frame). A decent-sized gap higher occurred to start the week, an even bigger gap lower to start today; in both instances the DAX found opposition – sellers on Monday, buyers today. Not an uncommon occurrence to see these minor gaps fill in relatively short-order from one trading session to another, or at least an attempt early on in the session (like we are seeing right now).

In yesterday’s webinar, we looked at a rising wedge developing on the 1-hr chart; the feeling on this end was that given its relatively flat angling it didn’t hold quite the bearish implications it would if it were to have been a bit steeper. Rising wedges after extended runs often break lower, catching the market (longs) leaning the wrong way. In any event, we saw a break this morning on U.S. political instability/Trump concerns. The gap-down also put the DAX below a steady trend-line back to the 4/24 French election gap-day open.

At the time of this writing, the market has taken back most of the ~100-point gap, and is also trying to recapture that broken trend-line. Looking for points of resistance: On a sustained rally, first up is the gap-fill and the under-side of the broken wedge, followed by the record high at 12842.

Should we see the market fail to push beyond the gap and roll over we will look back towards the session low at 12700 first. A break below the intra-day low brings the 12660 area into play.

DAX: Hourly

DAX Short-term Trading Outlook: Gap Lower Finds Early Buying

Paul conducts webinars every week from Tuesday-Friday. See the Webinar Calendar for details, and the full line-up of all upcoming live events.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can receive Paul’s analysis directly via email by signing up here.

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinonFX.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES