News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
DAX Technical Outlook: Easy Come, Easy Go

DAX Technical Outlook: Easy Come, Easy Go

Paul Robinson, Strategist

What’s inside:

  • The DAX swiftly reverses gains after breakout from multi-week consolidation
  • Momentum favors more downside, needs to quickly turnaround to become constructive
  • Price levels outlined

Trading Ideas and Guides

On Thursday, the last time we discussed the DAX it had just broken free from a multi-week range and was challenging key levels forged during the 2015 decline off the record high. It was also that day which marked the high of the advance out of the basing formation in place since the second trading day of the month.

It’s been a sharp turnaround – easy come, easy go – with yesterday accounting for a large share of the recent losses. This puts the DAX in an interesting spot. The breakout from the high-level base failed, and if it doesn’t turn the downward momentum around quickly, more is likely to come. A break below 11500 would put 11408/25 into play, and below there the top-side trend-line running back to April, currently clocking in just above 11300.

The decline could turn out to be a short-lived pullback, but the market needs to turn, and do-so quickly. Today's gap higher may be a start, but too soon to tell. The decline from near 11900 was fairly violent, and suggests more downward momentum could be on its way. If 11500 can hold up, then the DAX could find itself setting up for higher prices; a scenario in which we’ll need to see constructive price action before becoming confident about.

DAX: Daily

DAX Technical Outlook: Easy Come, Easy Go

Created with Tradingview

Key event risk today: The FOMC will announce its decision today on rates and release a policy statement at 19:00; there are no moves expected at today’s meeting, so focus will be as it often is – on the language in the policy statement. European markets will be closed during the time of the meeting, but any major moves which happen in U.S. markets are likely to spill over into tomorrow morning’s trade. The BoE is on deck Thursday at 12:00 GMT. See all upcoming events via the Economic Calendar.

See our Webinar Calendar for a schedule of upcoming live events with DailyFX analysts.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can receive Paul’s analysis directly via email by signing up here.

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinonFX.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES