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DAX 30 Halts Its Decline, But Strong Gains Are Also Absent

DAX 30 Halts Its Decline, But Strong Gains Are Also Absent

Alejandro Zambrano, Market Analyst

Talking Points

  • The decline of the DAX 30 has stalled, but strong gains are absent.
  • The DAX found some support ahead of the March 10 low of 9398.
  • Factors cited to support global stocks, in general, are the higher crude oil prices and yesterday’s dovish Fed rate meeting minutes.
  • The ECB Rate meeting minutes, and the latest U.S. Jobless Claims figures are to be published today. This evening, the Fed's Yellen is set to speak in New York, along with Greenspan, Bernanke, and Volcker.

The DAX 30 (FXCM: GER30) is little changed at the time of writing. The biggest drag to the index is from Carmakers, who are part of the Consumer Discretionary Sector which is currently lower by 1.27% in today’s session. The Health Care Sector, up by 0.74%, is the current winner.

The DAX 30 index itself has been trading with a slight bearish bias over the last few days as the current weekly high of 9906 is lower than the March high of 10,118. The lower highs and lower lows make the trend short-term bearish.

However, the selling has stalled near the March 10 low of 9398, which was also the ECB rate meeting low. The next support level beyond the March 10 low of 9398 is the February 24 low of 9122.

Factors cited to support global stocks, are in general both the higher crude oil prices and yesterday’s dovish Fed rate meeting minutes. In regards to the latter, the Fed has said that the domestic economy has developed in line with their earlier expectations. Employment and wage growth were cited as reasons for the Fed to move forward with the normalization of rates, while Net exports and weak global growth were said to pose a risk to the U.S. economic outlook. Some of the Fed members have said that they are ready to hike rates in April, while others have been less enthusiastic.

The effect of the dovish statement is that U.S. short-term rates, such as the 2-year-swap, remain stable around 0.837% from trading around 1.20% in December. The lower interest rates are said to support stock markets.

The ECB Rate meeting minutes are to be published today along with the latest U.S. Jobless Claims figures. This evening, the Fed's Yellen is set to speak in New York, along with Greenspan, Bernanke, and Volcker.

Our forecasts for Q2 2016 are now live on the site. Download them for free.

DAX 30 | FXCM: GER30

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Created with Marketscope/Trading Station II; prepared by Alejandro Zambrano

--- Written by Alejandro Zambrano, Market Analyst for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow Alejandro on Twitter: @AlexFX00

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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