News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Forex Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇭CHF: 0.28% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.25% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.20% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.12% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.11% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.07% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/BLD2KU12qp
  • What are some monetary policies that could affect Gold this quarter? Get your Gold free forecast here: https://t.co/bTXkGN1CIM #DailyFXGuides https://t.co/XGmybjuA7V
  • Indices Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: 0.82% France 40: 0.82% FTSE 100: 0.81% US 500: 0.64% Wall Street: 0.55% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/sTu7UghCRP
  • Slippage can be a common occurrence in forex trading but is often misunderstood. Understanding how forex slippage occurs can enable a trader to minimize negative slippage, while potentially maximizing positive slippage. Learn about FX slippage here: https://t.co/Blrl0uF2Ct https://t.co/I5Xqrl4iaX
  • RT @ZabelinDimitri: My latest piece on how the ongoing Colombian protests, surging commodity prices, and #USD dynamics will affect #USDCOP…
  • Singapore's Straits Times Index plunged over 2% after the government tightened Covid-related restrictions. https://t.co/pSBPfZPTPP
  • Do you know how to properly Identify a double top formation? Double tops can enhance technical analysis when trading both forex or stocks, making the pattern highly versatile in nature. Learn more about the double top formation here: https://t.co/t9Flsqcxo9 https://t.co/xyCBWO9Kqm
  • Heads Up:🇫🇷 Unemployment Rate (Q1) due at 05:30 GMT (15min) Previous: 8% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-05-14
  • (Commodities Briefing) Gold Price Forecast: Will XAU/USD Shrug off a Higher US Retail Sales Outcome? #Gold #XAUUSD https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2021/05/14/Gold-Price-Forecast-Will-XAUUSD-Shrug-off-a-Higher-US-Retail-Sales-Outcome.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/v4b3T9PWcG
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 91.08%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 70.81%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/15tLCxUZn4
GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: Five Days of Res at the 61.8, but Not Quite Bearish

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: Five Days of Res at the 61.8, but Not Quite Bearish

James Stanley, Senior Strategist

To receive James Stanley’s Analysis directly via email, please sign up here.

Talking Points:

  • GBP/JPY Technical Strategy: Intermediate-term price action appearing to make an attempt at a bullish move.
  • GBP/JPY has continued to claw-back Brexit losses, and is now seeing higher-lows come-in with horizontal resistance (ascending wedge pattern).
  • If you’re looking for additional trade ideas, check out our Trading Guide and if you’re looking for shorter-term ideas, check out our SSI indicator.

In our last article, we warned that the recent top-side move in GBP/JPY might have room to run. This was based upon the two-pronged impact of a) no rate cut out of the BOE and b) the prospect of additional stimulus coming from Japan. So despite the veracity of the previous down-trend, such significant changes in the macroeconomic backdrop in GBP/JPY made for the prospect of a continuation of the reversal until, eventually, we may see a new trend develop.

Since that last article, we’ve seen GBP/JPY continuing to carve-out higher-lows, further confirming this thesis. But gains have continued to be tempered by near-term resistance at 140.63, which is the 61.8% of the ‘Brexit-move’ in GBP/JPY. This horizontal level of resistance to go along with inclining lows highlights an ascending wedge formation on the daily chart (shown below).

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: Five Days of Res at the 61.8, but Not Quite Bearish

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station II; prepared by James Stanley

The type of congestion seen in a wedge pattern often preludes a big move. This type of digestion will often take place around trend-changes, as sellers that are late to the party get offset by buyers looking to jump on the new trend’s direction. Given the amount of resistance seen at this 61.8% level, the point of control for sellers becomes obvious; but it’s the higher-lows that make the setup interesting as buyers are getting increasingly more aggressive and incrementally less-patient as they try to get long in GBP/JPY.

Given that we have a fairly well-heeled form of near-term resistance, traders can wait for the wedge to actually break before looking to get long. To do this, traders would want to wait for price action to find near-term support on this current level of resistance. This would necessitate a top-side burst higher before the long entry could be taken off of support, but if this move in GBP/JPY truly becomes a new trend, there are numerous top-side levels to look to for profit targets; and traders would likely be able to get more amenable risk levels by placing stops underneath the next iteration of ‘higher-low’ support.

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: Five Days of Res at the 61.8, but Not Quite Bearish

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station II; prepared by James Stanley

--- Written by James Stanley, Analyst for DailyFX.com

To receive James Stanley’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES