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Talking Points:

Despite a quiet open to this week’s trading, the CAC 40 has now declined to print a new monthly low at 5,238.40. This decline is coupled with a general selloff in European markets ahead of ECB’s Mario Draghi speaking later today in Tel Aviv. So far the CAC 40 is trading down -0.72% for Thursday’s trading. Top gainers for the session include SAFRAN (+1.37%) and Saint-Gobain (+0.85%). Top Losers for today’s trading include both Danone (-2.71) and Peugeot (-2.31%).

Technically the CAC 40 has broken out lower beneath its 10 day EMA (exponential moving average) at 5,352.72. This breakout is significant, as it suggests that the short term trend for the Index is now pointed lower. If prices continue to decline, traders may next look for the CAC 40 to trade towards the April 24th low at 5,158.50. If prices begin to rebound, traders should first look for the CAC 40 to trade back above the 10 day EMA. A close in price above 5,352.72 would suggest that this swing lower may be temporary and just a retracement in an otherwise ongoing uptrend.

CAC 40, Daily Chart with Averages

CAC 40 Trend Shifts Downward

(Created Using IG Charts)

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Sentiment totals for the CAC 40 (Ticker: France 40) remain neutral with IG Client Sentiment reading at +1.16. While having 53.7% of traders net-long is far from extremes, traders should note that this value has recently flipped from net-short reading. If the CAC 40 continues to decline, it would be expected to see IG Client Sentiment shift to positive extremes of +2.0 or more. However if prices rebound, sentiment values may again flip back to a negative reading.

CAC 40 Trend Shifts Downward

--- Written by Walker, Analyst for DailyFX.com

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