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Forex: EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Resistance Below 1.40 in Focus

Forex: EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Resistance Below 1.40 in Focus

2014-03-18 01:12:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

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Talking Points:

  • EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 1.3800-31 (former resistance, channel floor), 1.3680 (23.6% Fib ret.)
  • Resistance: 1.3960 (23.6% Fib exp.), 1.3993 (channel top)

Euro selling has failed to materialize against the US Dollar thus far after prices put in a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. Negative RSI divergence continues to warn of ebbing upside momentum but confirmation of reversal is absent. Breaking support in the 1.3800-31 area, marked by a former double top and a channel bottom, exposes the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.3680. Alternatively, a move above the 23.6% Fib expansion at 1.3960 aims for the channel top at 1.3993.

Our big-picture fundamental outlook continues to favor Euro weakness but we will continue to stand aside absent a defined sell signal, preferring to see a close below the channel floor to enter a short position.

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dailyclassics_eur-usd_body_Picture_12.png, Forex: EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Resistance Below 1.40 in Focus

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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