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Talking Points:

  • EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 1.3800-31 (former resistance, channel floor), 1.3680 (38.2% Fib ret.)
  • Resistance: 1.3892-1.3911 (Dec 27 high, 38.2% Fib exp.), 1.3970 (channel top)

The Euro may be carving a top against the US Dollar as prices form a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern at resistance in the 1.3892-1.3911 area, marked by the December 27 high and the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion. Breaking below support in the 1.3800-31 region initially exposes 1.3680, the 38.2% Fib retracement. A push above 1.3911 targets a rising channel top at 1.3970.

Our long-term fundamental outlook favors Euro weakness but an actionable entry signal remains absent for the time being. We will stand aside for now, waiting for a break of the channel floor to offer confirmation for a short position.

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dailyclassics_eur-usd_body_Picture_11.png, Forex: EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Euro Finally Topping Out?

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for