EUR/USD Classical Technical Report 09.07
EUR/USD: The market still remains confined to a broader consolidation since April, with rallies well capped above 1.4500 and pullbacks finding decent support below 1.4000. However, the contraction in volatility over the past several months warns of a near-term breakout and given the more bearish structure on the monthly chart which suggests the formation of a longer-term lower top by 1.5000, we project the breakout to be to the downside. In the interim, look for setbacks to establish below 1.4000 over the coming sessions, with any intraday rallies expected to be well capped ahead of 1.4200. Tuesday’s bearish close below the 200-Day SMA is significant as the market has not been able to achieve this feat since early 2011.
Written by Joel Kruger, Technical Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
If you wish to receive Joel's reports in a more timely fashion, e-mail email@example.com and you will be added to the "distribution" list.
If you wish to discuss this topic or any other feel free to visit our Forum page
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.