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EUR/GBP Rebound May be Amplified by Brexit Risks Ahead

EUR/GBP Rebound May be Amplified by Brexit Risks Ahead

Dimitri Zabelin, Analyst
What's on this page

Euro, Sterling, Brexit, EUR/GBP – TALKING POINTS

  • EUR/GBP downtrend may have stopped: reversal ahead?
  • Pair may now be aiming at potential resistance at 0.9039
  • Brexit risks, BoE rate decision could muddy chart set up

Learn how to use political-risk analysis in your trading strategy !

Since reaching a 3-year peak in early August, EUR/GBP has fallen almost five percent. Along its descent, the pair broke through several support channels and price floors but is now possibly reversing its downtrend. EUR/GBP stopped right on the cusp of the 0.8924 support level. The long-reaching wicks downwards indicates markets were flirting with the idea of going lower but were not able to muster the will to do so.

EUR/GBP Traders Hesitant to Commit

Chart showing EUR/GBP

EUR/GBP chart created using TradingView

With a possible rebound in sight, EUR/GBP’s next target may be to breach resistance at 0.9039, with another possible obstruction at 0.9060. A break above both barriers with follow-through could boost the pair as optimism about EUR/GBP’s upward prospects is revived.

EUR/GBP – Daily Chart

Chart showing EUR/GBP

EUR/GBP chart created using TradingView

However, when looking at a weekly chart, the pair’s prospective recovery is looking grim after it broke through a multi-week rising support channel. The proceeding weekly candles’ small bodies and long wicks extending from both ends indicates indecision despite the significant deviation from the dominant uptrend. Looking ahead, the next possible support zone will be between 0.8620-0.8658.

EUR/GBP – Weekly Chart

Chart showing EUR/GBP

EUR/GBP chart created using TradingView

However, it is important to bear in mind key event risk next week that could cause significant price oscillations and distort technical chart set ups. The Bank of England rate decision and possible legal proceedings with Brexit could either amplify the pair’s recovery or cause it to aggressively resume its downtrend from early August.


--- Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Jr Currency Analyst for

To contact Dimitri, use the comments section below or @ZabelinDimitri on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.