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EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: Conflicting Chart Signals Persist

EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: Conflicting Chart Signals Persist

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

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Talking Points:

  • EUR/GBP Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.7873, 0.7777, 0.7728
  • Resistance: 0.7953, 0.8035, 0.8082

The Euro declined as expected against the British Pound after prices produced a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. Near-term support is in the 0.7873-96 area, marked by the July 23 low and the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 0.7777-0.7803 zone (July 2012 bottom, 38.2% level). The appearance of a Morning Star formation now warns an upswing could be ahead however. A turn above the 14.6% Fib at 0.7953 opens the door for a challenge of the 0.8030-35 zone (September 9 close, falling channel top).

Prices are too close to support to justify entering short from a risk/reward perspective. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests that taking up the long side is premature. With that in mind we will remain flat for now.

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EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: Conflicting Chart Signals Persist

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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