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AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aiming Lower After Support Break

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aiming Lower After Support Break

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

AUD/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: BEARISH

  • Australian Dollar breaks counter-trend support, sellers retake initiative
  • Monthly chart hints near-term weakness may mark start of bigger drop
  • Invalidating immediate bearish bias requires clear break above 0.6930

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The Australian Dollar looks to be resuming the dominant downtrend against its US counterpart. A daily close below rising trendline support establishing the bounds of a corrective upswing from October lows suggests that move has now ended.

From here, a daily close below minor resistance-turned-support at 0.6811 looks likely to set the stage for another challenge of the 0.6671-90 support shelf. That barrier has cut off progress to the downside since early August. Reestablishing above 0.6930 looks like a prerequisite to neutralize near-term selling pressure.

Australian Dollar vs US Dollar price chart - daily

Daily AUD/USD chart created with TradingView

Zooming out to the monthly chart for a broader perspective, signs of bearish resumption in more immediate positioning have appeared just as prices retest pivotal support-turned-resistance in the 0.6900-0.7018 zone. If they portend rejection, a longer-term down move to the 0.6000-0.6352 zone may well be underway.

Australian Dollar vs US Dollar price chart - monthly

Monthly AUD/USD chart created with TradingView

AUD/USD TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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