News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Wall Street
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • NY Fed accepts $583.9 billion in reverse repo operations, highest total ever $USD
  • UK's Boris Johnson: - Delaying the lifting of lockdown by 4 weeks to July 19 - Extension of lockdown rules will enable vaccine rollout $GBP
  • UK's Boris Johnson: Opening up the economy has led to more infections, cases are growing by 64% a week $GBP
  • 🇧🇷 Business Confidence (JUN) Actual: 61.7 Previous: 58.5
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in EUR/CHF are long at 74.94%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 78.51%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:
  • Heads Up:🇧🇷 Business Confidence (JUN) due at 17:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 58.5
  • Has Bitcoin Bottomed? PTJ Makes Crypto Bull Case (Again) #BTC
  • Commodities Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.34% Silver: 0.10% Gold: -0.72% View the performance of all markets via
  • Gold prices put in a major breakout last month, and so far buyers have been able to hold the bullish trend. Get your $XAUUSD market update from @JStanleyFX here:
  • Forex Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.23% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.17% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.14% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.03% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.13% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.29% View the performance of all markets via
USDJPY Chart Analysis: A Bullish Short Term Elliott Wave Pattern

USDJPY Chart Analysis: A Bullish Short Term Elliott Wave Pattern

Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M, Head of Education

The Elliott Wave chart pattern for USDJPY appears to have carved an impulse to start a new trend. After a minor dip, we are anticipating another push higher towards 108.

We have been tracking a pattern on the USDJPY chart that suggests a meaningful low forming in the 103-105 vicinity. The March 25 low did reach 104.63 so the higher probability move is towards higher levels. In Monday’s US Opening Bell webinar, we highlighted the possibility of USDJPY reaching 106.50 to 108 resulting from hitting channel support.

Since then, USDJPY as ascended to 107.01 so what is next for the market? Using Elliott Wave Theory, we can count a five-wave impulse forming from the 104.63 low. Within this impulse, the fifth wave appears extended. As a result, it would be normal for USDJPY to experience a pull back towards 105.30 to 105.80. At that point, we would look for symptoms of a bullish reversal that may press higher towards 108.

USDJPY Elliott Wave chart intrady March 30 2018.

How did Elliott Wave Theory help us identify the reversal zone on USDJPY Chart?

A couple wave relationships appear in this 105.30 to 105.80 price zone. According to Elliott Wave Theory, an impulse wave that starts a new trend is typically followed by a partial retracement. Using Fibonacci retracement levels the 50-61% retracement zone arrives near 105.50-105.80.

Secondly, within an impulse wave that contains an extended fifth wave, many times the subsequent retracement moves back to the second wave of the extended fifth wave. That price point is near 105.40.

Lastly, it is common for the previous fourth wave to provide support in an ensuing retracement. The previous fourth wave yields 105.30-105.75.

Elliott Wave Forecast for USDJPY

Since the USDJPY chart shows an impulse wave to start a new trend, we think that after a partial retracement to the 105.30-105.80 zone, USDJPY may grind higher towards 108. This Elliott Wave forecast is valid so long as USDJPY remains above 104.63.

If USDJPY breaks below 104.63, then we will need to consider another pattern is in the works.

USDJPY Sentiment is Bearish

IG Client Sentiment shows the number of traders have been steadily net long over the past couple of months. This bearish signal implies additional losses in the future. Therefore, our bullish target is kept to a conservative mark near 108. View how live traders are positioned with our IG client sentiment tool.

Elliott Wave Theory FAQs

What is Elliott Wave Theory?

Elliott Wave Theory was developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott back in the 1930’s. It is a study of wave cycles and patterns. Five waves define the direction of the trend and three waves define a corrective move. Review our beginners and advanced Elliott Wave guides to learn more about the terms, rules, and common patterns of Elliott Wave principle.

After reviewing the guides, be sure to follow future Elliott Wave articles to see Elliott Wave Theory in action.

Can a newer trader learn and understand Elliott Wave Theory?

Just like learning to ride a bicycle, we all started as beginners at one time or another. I would first suggest familiarizing yourself with FX terminology and how to read a currency quote, and then read the Traits of Successful traders to understand the habits of successful traders. Therefore, regardless of the analytical method, you have a foundation for trading to build a strategy.

---Written by Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M

Jeremy Wagner is a Certified Elliott Wave Analyst with a Master’s designation. These articles are designed to illustrate Elliott Wave applied to the current market environment. See Jeremy’s bio page for recent Elliott Wave articles.

Communicate with Jeremy and have your shout below by posting in the comments area. Feel free to include your Elliott Wave count as well.

Discuss this market with Jeremy in Monday’s US Opening Bell webinar.

Follow on twitter @JWagnerFXTrader .

Join Jeremy’s distribution list.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.