News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Forex Update: As of 13:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.22% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.04% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.02% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.11% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.11% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.26% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/LZMBGAenik
  • Heads Up:🇨🇦 Average Weekly Earnings YoY (SEP) due at 13:30 GMT (15min) Previous: 7.9% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-11-26
  • It was noted that monetary policy decisions in December would be consistent with prevailing market expectations
  • ECB Minutes - headline inflation was now expected to be in negative territory for longer than had been foreseen in the September projections
  • What are the three ways the stock market impacts the economy? Find out here. https://t.co/fg2dYSBPgB https://t.co/zsILutmUNx
  • Heads Up:💶 ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts due at 12:30 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-11-26
  • 🇲🇽 Economic Activity YoY (SEP) Actual: -5.5% Expected: -6.6% Previous: -9.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-11-26
  • 🇲🇽 GDP Growth Rate YoY Final (Q3) Actual: -8.6% Expected: -8.6% Previous: -18.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-11-26
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 93.81%, while traders in NZD/USD are at opposite extremes with 75.00%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/feJqffHqgL
  • Heads Up:🇲🇽 Economic Activity YoY (SEP) due at 12:00 GMT (15min) Expected: -6.6% Previous: -9.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-11-26
Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices Grind Higher - How Much Further?

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices Grind Higher - How Much Further?

2017-09-18 20:17:00
Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M, Head of Education
Share:

Crude oil prices have been pressing the higher end of its trading range for the past two weeks. We previously wrote how we think the 14 month triangle pattern may have ended on August 30. If so, this is a likely a bullish triangle leading towards a retest of $55 and possibly higher.

According to the Elliott Wave model we are following, we can count five wave impulsive moves higher, though they are not the cleanest. Therefore, we need to keep an open mind that the pattern is illustrating an inability to punch higher with vigor. This in itself is weak so stick to your technical levels and if they break, move on to other patterns.

The key level to watch here is the red upward sloping trend line. So long as prices remain above this trend line, then we can maintain a bullish bias. The red trend line runs near $48 today. If crude oil prices move below this red trend line, then it acts like a red warning signal on the dashboard. There are still bullish patterns available like a diagonal. However, the odds of other bearish patterns increases diluting the opportunity at a good risk to reward ratio. Bottom line, a break of the red trend line opens the door for a retest of the August 30 low at $45.57.

Struggling with your trading? You could be making this common trading mistake.

Crude Oil Price Intraday Chart

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices Grind Higher - How Much Further?

Bonus chart:

Natural gas prices have been trading in a quiet range for most of 2017 (similar to crude oil). We anticipate the trading range may continue for the next several months. However, we want to put this on your radar that a dip towards 2.60 may dig deep enough to offer bulls a longer term possibility.

You see, natural gas prices began an impulsive move to start a new trend and is currently correcting sideways. It appears natural gas is moving higher in the ‘b’ wave of a bigger downward correction. Once this larger move down is finished, we will look for signs of a bottom.

Natural Gas Daily Chart

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices Grind Higher - How Much Further?

---Written by Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M

Jeremy is a Certified Elliott Wave Analyst with a Master’s designation. For more learning material on Elliott Wave theory, consider the following:

Beginner and Advanced Guides on Trading with Elliott Wave

Learn more on triangle patterns by viewing this hour-long webinar recording on how to identify and trade triangles...registration required.

Discuss this market with Jeremy in Monday’s US Opening Bell webinar.

Follow on twitter @JWagnerFXTrader .

Join Jeremy’s distribution list.

USDJPY Advance May Kick off a New Uptrend

US Opening Bell Webinar archive (Sept 18)

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES