Crude Break Out Leads to Fake Out
Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0
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Commodity Analysis: Covered the 4th wave scenario earlier this week, writing that “one must consider the possibility of a 4th wave triangle. The implications are for a terminal thrust to a new high.” A terminal thrust means that the rally is probably the final leg of the larger bull advance. Measured targets are the 161.8% and 200% extensions of the width of the triangle (at its widest point) at 113 and 115.57 but recent action is consistent with a market turn (may have already topped).
Commodity Trading Strategy: Flat
LEVELS: 104.29 105.31 106.91 108.89 110 110.74
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