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Commodity Technical Analysis: Crude Testing Late November Low

Commodity Technical Analysis: Crude Testing Late November Low

2012-12-11 02:18:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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Daily Bars

Commodity_Technical_Analysis_Crude_Testing_Late_November_Low_body_crude.png, Commodity Technical Analysis: Crude Testing Late November Low

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Commodity Analysis: “The trend has been down since September and it’s probably best to look lower since the November low as nothing more than consolidation before additional weakness.” IF crude can sustain a downside break then focus (probably later in the month) would shift to the 78.6% retracement of the rally from 7726 and channel support. Also keep an eye on former trendline resistance, which indicated support on 11/28.

Commodity Trading Strategy: 8550, the first target, has been hit. Now nearing the bottom of the range, reward/risk isn’t favorable for new positions. Bearish risk should be moved down to Monday’s high. Exceeding that level exposes bears to a run at 8745-8889.

LEVELS: 8221 8363 8454 8686 8745 8889

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