Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Oil - US Crude
Wall Street
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • #Gold and silver prices may turn lower based on bearish signals from IG Client Sentiment. Technical signals also warn the XAG/USD may fall, will XAU/USD meet the same fate? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/zzO5TdogF4 https://t.co/Ga5XScyMGH
  • Heads Up:🇮🇩 Business Confidence (Q2) due at 05:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-05
  • Heads Up:🇮🇩 Business Confidence (Q1) due at 05:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 104.82 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-05
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 95.73%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 77.16%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/7daoPL4gxF
  • Forex Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.38% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.37% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.23% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.14% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.12% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.11% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/R3by8hR5Gt
  • 🇮🇩 GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2) Actual: -4.19% Expected: -3.49% Previous: -2.41% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-05
  • 🇮🇩 GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q2) Actual: -5.32% Expected: -4.61% Previous: 2.97% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-05
  • Indices Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: 0.29% France 40: 0.19% FTSE 100: 0.19% Wall Street: 0.11% US 500: 0.06% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/wweCoYuhgL
  • Recent changes in IGCS warns that: #DowJones may rise #CrudeOil could climb $USDCAD might extend losses Read my full report here - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/special_report/2020/08/05/Dow-Jones-Crude-Oil-May-Rise-as-USDCAD-Falls-on-Positioning-Signals.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/5JYj5LUKDJ
  • The Japanese Yen may fall against its major counterparts as it enters the second half of an 8-year cycle. AUD/JPY, EUR/JPY rates eye push to fresh yearly highs. Get your $JPY market update from @DanielGMoss here:https://t.co/EZUxcPSylS https://t.co/i4QVQwnJUO
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Analysis: 3 Year Chart Pattern Nears an End

EUR/USD Elliott Wave Analysis: 3 Year Chart Pattern Nears an End

2018-01-11 21:31:00
Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M, Head of Education

EUR/USD Elliott Wave Analysis Talking Points:

  • Three year expanded flat pattern on EURUSD is nearing completion
  • The final wave of the flat is shaping as ending diagonal
  • We are anticipating the diagonal to finish below 1.2288

EUR/USD Elliott Wave analysis shows a three year expanded flat pattern is nearing an end. We are anticipating a bearish reversal that begins from a level below 1.2288.

Elliott Wave Flat Pattern Began in 2015

EUR/USD has been correcting sideways since March of 2015 as an A-B-C wave. This three-wave move is shaped as an expanded flat pattern.

According to the Elliott Wave principle, the ‘C’ wave of the flat would need to carve in five waves. We can see from the chart below that the pattern is incomplete with only four waves visible.

EUR/USD Elliott Wave Count

EURUSD Elliott Wave analysis shows a 3 year pattern about to end.

5th Wave Diagonal Nearing an End

Within the fifth wave of the flat noted above, two possible patterns could develop. The first is an impulse wave. The shape and structure since the 1.1554 low in November is not an impulse wave.

The other possibility is the fifth wave is carving as an ending diagonal pattern. The shape and the structure since 1.1554 does look like the beginning of the diagonal.

The Elliott Wave count on EUR/USD shows we have just completed the fourth wave of that diagonal on January 9 or may do so with one more dip in price. We believe that with EURUSD above 1.18, the diagonal may grind higher in one final wave.

EUR/USD is rising in a 5th and final wave of the diagonal pattern.

Measuring The EUR/USD Diagonal Pattern's Extreme

In Elliott Wave Theory, one of the rules is that wave 3 cannot be the shortest of waves 1, 3, and 5. In the EURUSD diagonal noted above, wave (iii) is shorter than wave (i). Therefore, to prevent violation of the rule, wave (v) must be shorter than wave (iii) or else we have misdiagnosed the pattern.

We can identify from the EUR/USD chart that wave (iii) measured 371 pips. Therefore, if we project that distance from the January 9 low, then we reach a diagonal extreme of 1.2288.

This implies that so long as EURUSD remains below 1.2288, then the market is at risk of a swift reversal. This offers us an ability to set up a short trade opportunity according to habits of successful traders.

Learn more about the 4 steps to trade the diagonal pattern.

EURUSD and an intraday count showing an e

Elliott Wave Theory FAQs

How do I begin my Elliott Wave analysis?

There are certain Elliott Wave patterns that appear in specific places of the wave sequence. I look for those patterns to begin developing my Elliott Wave analysis. Patterns such as triangles, equal waves, the 5-3 pattern, and diagonals are a few that help me get started. We have a one-hour webinar recording on “How to Start Your Elliott Wave Analysis”.

“The Elliott Wave principle seems subjective!”

Well, I would disagree, as the EWP rules are not broken. The challenge is most likely the result of forecasting error. Even I make forecasting mistakes and it happens to everyone as we are assessing a live market environment. One key for budding Elliott Wave technicians is to learn the main patterns, and then minimize those errors by following the larger trend. We discuss this and other expert tips in our beginners and advanced trading guides.

---Written by Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M

Jeremy Wagner is a Certified Elliott Wave Analyst with a Master’s designation. Jeremy provides Elliott Wave analysis on key markets as well as Elliott Wave educational resources. Read more of Jeremy’s Elliott Wave reports via his bio page.

New to trading FX? This guide is just for you.

Recent Elliott Wave articles by Jeremy:

Will USD/JPY Break its Trading Range?

2018 Forecast for EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD and AUD/JPY

Can Swiss Franc Outperform its Peers in 2018?

Bulls Excited About GBP/JPY Longer Term Elliott Wave Pattern

Follow on twitter @JWagnerFXTrader .

Join Jeremy’s distribution list.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.


News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.