News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Indices Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: -0.09% US 500: -0.14% FTSE 100: -0.29% Wall Street: -0.30% Germany 30: -0.45% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/K8pJJZxuTM
  • The GOP has rejected the Democrats global offer on an infrastructure agreement - CNN
  • Commodities Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.13% Silver: 0.11% Gold: -0.21% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/blZDvtm5lh
  • 🇺🇸 New Home Sales MoM (JUN) Actual: -6.6% Expected: 3.5% Previous: -7.8% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-26
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 93.88%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 72.92%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/leiNtJOg06
  • Commodities Update: As of 13:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.35% Gold: 0.06% Oil - US Crude: -0.32% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/5GFYVwsGKM
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 New Home Sales MoM (JUN) due at 14:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 3.5% Previous: -5.9% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-26
  • A somewhat relatively subdued start to the week for the Euro, with the currency remaining anchored around the 1.18 handle. Get your market update from @JMcQueenFX here:https://t.co/9e9i7pW8DQ https://t.co/54lOyEZbed
  • Indices Update: As of 13:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: 0.01% US 500: -0.13% Wall Street: -0.18% Germany 30: -0.22% FTSE 100: -0.23% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/X9yC7S8wfC
  • DoJ are reportedly examining if Tether misled banks about Crypto business
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Analysis Points to Higher Levels

EUR/USD Elliott Wave Analysis Points to Higher Levels

Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M, Head of Education

After a two-month grind towards lower levels, EUR/USD has shot higher. We were anticipating the bounce during the sell off at a bounce to 1.17 and possibly higher. Now that EUR/USD has continued to rise, it appears poised to retest its 1.2060 highs make a run at 1.22.

The Elliott Wave models we are following suggest a dip in prices may occur first prior to a 1.2060 retest. This dip in EUR/USD may move down to the 1.18 level. From there, the models diverge with some pointing to higher levels and others suggesting a deeper set back to near 1.17.

Through the lens of standard trend lines, EUR/USD is retesting the bottom side of a parallel trend line in place since early 2017. If the market can comfortably move above this level, then the door is open towards new highs.

Struggling to trade EUR/USD? This could be why.

Idealized Elliott Wave Flat Pattern on EUR/USD

EUR/USD Elliott Wave Analysis Points to Higher Levels

Here is the skinny on the Elliott Wave count. The November low represents the fourth wave low of a five wave impulsive sequence. The fifth wave began November 6 and represents a terminal wave at two degrees of trend. That means once this fifth wave exhausts to the upside, it will also exhaust the ‘C’ wave of a large expanded flat pattern that began March 2015. This implies an important top for EUR/USD, but we are not there yet.

EUR/USD Elliott Wave Count November 27

EUR/USD Elliott Wave Analysis Points to Higher Levels

We can use wave relationships to provide targets for a fifth wave higher. These are guidelines and it does not mean EURUSD has to move to these levels. It does keep the door open that higher prices are still available to EURUSD.

There is a cluster of wave relationships showing up near 1.22.

  1. The 50% retracement of the 2014 downtrend is near 1.2205
  2. The ‘C’ wave of the flat pattern is 1.618 times the length of the ‘A’ wave near 1.2207.
  3. Circle wave ‘v’ is .382 times the distance of circle waves ‘i’ through ‘iii’ near 1.2241

With several different wave relationships near 1.22, should EURUSD enter that zone, it could mean an important top.

The sentiment picture continues to support bullish patterns. The current sentiment reading is -2.3 with the net short traders growing. This serves as a bullish sentiment signal. View the live sentiment reading to keep on top of any changes that may occur.

Therefore, so long as EURUSD is above 1.1553, we will maintain a bullish bias towards 1.22. In the short term, EURUSD may dip down to 1.17 or 1.18 and therefore we will look for a buy the dip strategy.

Are you new to trading the FX market? This guide was created just for you.

Want to learn more about Elliott Wave analysis? Grab the Beginner and Advanced Elliott Wave guides and keep them near your computer.

---Written by Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M

Jeremy is a Certified Elliott Wave analyst with a Master’s designation. This report is intended to help break down the patterns according to Elliott Wave theory.

For further study on Elliott Wave impulse patterns, watch this webinar recording.

Discuss this market with Jeremy in Monday’s US Opening Bell webinar.

The November 27 recording of the US Opening Bell webinar can be viewed at this link.

Follow on twitter @JWagnerFXTrader .

Join Jeremy’s distribution list.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES