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  • Fed is T-minus 10 minutes. $SPX hasn't closed its Monday 'window' (gap lower on open) and Dollar still working on a 'right shoulder' on a H&S pattern. Diamond Hands @CVecchioFX will be covering the event live: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/live_events/2021/09/22/live-data-coverage-september-federal-reserve-meeting-rate-decision-christopher-vecchio-cfa.html
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  • ...I don't believe the markets will ever be okay with the Fed bowing out of stimulus. As market sentiment normalizes, speculative exposure increases proportionally, meaning there will always be a market premium to contend with. A form of the sociological 'normalization' effect
  • Equities pull back from session highs as traders eye the FOMC meeting at the top of the hour $ES $SPX $SPY https://t.co/nI3lIr8xVc
  • ...that is my take on the panic around tapering. I'm not advocating for expediting rate hikes, but to continuously punt easing back on stimulus by even a marginal amount only compounds the market's dependencies - increasing moral hazard.
  • 'The economy and markets are so strong that we can't reduce the $120 billion per month asset purchases. Further, if only we can continue this path for an indefinite future, the market will absorb the external risk on its own.'
EUR/USD Trendline Proves Worth; Move Finally Coming?

EUR/USD Trendline Proves Worth; Move Finally Coming?

Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist

Daily

EUR/USD Trendline Proves Worth; Move Finally Coming?

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader and see ideas on other USD crosses

-EURUSD was never able to drop under 1.3642, finding low after April NFP at 1.3672. Momentum wise, I am looking for a top. RSI at each top since December has been below 70. This weak momentum profile is not suggestive of a strong bull (or bull at all for that matter).

-The uncovered close at 1.3884 is now resistance but the failed rallies may warn of something sinister on the downside. A break below 1.3750 would give scope to a breakdown towards 1.3476.

LEVELS: 1.3753 1.37741.3804 | 1.3829 1.3850 1.3884

--Trading specifics (setups with entries, stops, targets) are availabletoJ.S. Trade Desk members.

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