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Forex Strategy: NZD/USD Gravestone Doji On Weekly Offers Omen

Forex Strategy: NZD/USD Gravestone Doji On Weekly Offers Omen

2014-03-21 11:49:00
David de Ferranti, Currency Analyst
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Talking Points

  • NZD/USD Technical Strategy: Sidelines Preferred
  • Bearish engulfing pattern on the daily warns of declines
  • Given the short-term uptrend caution suggested when looking at shorts

The Kiwi’s bull-run has been halted at the 0.8635 level of resistance which has resulted in the emergence of a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily. While this may be warning of a potential reversal, caution is suggested when looking at shorting the NZD/USD, given the pair remains in a short-term uptrend signaled by prices being above the 20 SMA.

NZD/USD: Another Reversal Signal Emerges

Forex-Strategy-NZDUSD-Gravestone-Doji-On-Weekly-Offers-Omen_body_Picture_3.png, Forex Strategy: NZD/USD Gravestone Doji On Weekly Offers Omen

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

The presence of a Piercing Line formation near noteworthy support at 0.8510 may be hinting at an intraday bounce for the Kiwi. However, a recovery for the currency may be limited since the bulls appear to be finding little encouragement during Asian trading.

NZD/USD: Finds Support But Bounce May Be Limited

Forex-Strategy-NZDUSD-Gravestone-Doji-On-Weekly-Offers-Omen_body_Picture_2.png, Forex Strategy: NZD/USD Gravestone Doji On Weekly Offers Omen

Four Hour Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Getting some broader context from the weekly chart; a Gravestone Doji near resistance at 0.8665 is noteworthy. While the candle has yet to close and receive confirmation, it will certainly be on the radar as potential omen of a more significant correction for the Kiwi.

NZD/USD: Warning on The Weekly On The Radar

Forex-Strategy-NZDUSD-Gravestone-Doji-On-Weekly-Offers-Omen_body_Picture_1.png, Forex Strategy: NZD/USD Gravestone Doji On Weekly Offers Omen

Weekly Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

By David de Ferranti, Market Analyst, FXCM

Follow David on Twitter: @Davidde

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