Skip to content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Canadian Dollar Road Ahead Remains Bleak: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY, AUD/CAD, EUR/CAD

Canadian Dollar Road Ahead Remains Bleak: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY, AUD/CAD, EUR/CAD

Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist

Canadian Dollar, USD/CAD, CAD/JPY, EUR/CAD, GBP/CAD – Technical Analysis

Trade Smarter - Sign up for the DailyFX Newsletter

Receive timely and compelling market commentary from the DailyFX team

Subscribe to Newsletter

USD/CAD Analysis

The Canadian Dollar be may increasingly at risk of depreciating further against the US Dollar. USD/CAD has closed above the key 1.2748 – 1.2808 resistance zone, marking the highest point since February. Still, confirmation is lacking and negative RSI divergence is present. The latter shows that upside momentum is fading, which can at times precede a turn lower. On the other hand, a bullish crossover between the 50- and 100-day Simple Moving Averages offers an upside bias, placing the focus on the January high and beyond.

USD/CAD Bullish
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -20% 29% 10%
Weekly -13% 2% -3%
What does this mean for the USDCAD outlook?
Get My Guide
USD/CAD Analysis

Chart Created in TradingView

CAD/JPY Analysis

A bearish Head and Shoulders may be on the verge of playing out in CAD/JPY. The Canadian Dollar recently rejected the 87.97 – 88.30 resistance zone, dropping to the neckline of the chart pattern after establishing the right shoulder. A breakout under the 85.41 – 85.82 support zone, with confirmation, could open the door for the pair to extend losses towards the implied target of the Head and Shoulders – see chart below. Still, the 200-day SMA still remains in play, which could reinstate the dominant upside focus.

CAD/JPY Analysis

Chart Created in TradingView

AUD/CAD Analysis

The Canadian Dollar seems to be in a more favorable position against the Australian Dollar. AUD/CAD remains in a dominant downtrend since February, guided lower by falling resistance – see chart below. Prices recently took out the pivotal 0.9294 – 0.9248 support zone and have since established a new range below at 0.9120 – 0.9146. Positive RSI divergence is present, which may precede a turn higher. Still, even a breakout above resistance exposes the 100-day SMA. The latter may reinstate the dominant downside focus.

Introduction to Technical Analysis

Support and Resistance

Recommended by Daniel Dubrovsky

Start Course

AUD/CAD Analysis

Chart Created in TradingView

EUR/CAD Analysis

The Canadian Dollar’s stance against the Euro seems relatively more neutral. EUR/CAD remains above falling resistance from the end of last year but has struggled to set higher highs as of late. That is where the 200-day SMA may come into focus. Keep a close eye on this line in the event prices attempt to push higher again. A breakout above the SMA could open the door to a material turn higher in the pair, reversing losses since the beginning of this year. Downtrend resumption entails a close under the 1.4631 – 1.4583 support zone.

EUR/CAD Analysis

Chart Created in TradingView

--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES