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New Zealand Dollar Price Outlook: NZD/JPY, NZD/CAD, NZD/CHF

New Zealand Dollar Price Outlook: NZD/JPY, NZD/CAD, NZD/CHF

Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist

New Zealand Dollar, NZD/JPY, NZD/CAD, NZD/CHF – Talking Points

  • Has NZD/JPY experienced a false downside breakout?
  • NZD/CAD may be vulnerable to turning lower ahead
  • NZD/CHF outlook eyes a bearish candlestick pattern

NZD/JPY Technical Analysis

The New Zealand Dollar might have experienced a false downside breakout against the Japanese Yen. After NZD/JPY closed under rising support from the middle of May, prices bounced off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 68.18. Now the pair is testing the 69.68 – 70.03 inflection range and an upside push could shift the focus back in early June highs (71.24 – 71.73). The long term picture may still remain bearish however should falling resistance from 2014 hold - red line on the daily chart below.

NZD/JPY - Daily Chart

New Zealand Dollar Price Outlook: NZD/JPY, NZD/CAD, NZD/CHF

Chart Created Using TradingView

NZD/CAD Technical Analysis

The New Zealand Dollar may turn lower versus the Canadian Dollar as NZD/CAD tests December highs (0.8780 – 0.8800). That is because there is the presence of RSI divergence, a sign of fading upside momentum. This can at times precede a turn lower, which would place the focus on the 0.8712 – 0.8738 inflection point. Further descending from there may then open the door to testing rising support from the March bottom. Otherwise, further gains exposes July 2019 highs (0.8865 – 0.8890) towards 2016 falling resistance.

NZD/CAD - Daily Chart

New Zealand Dollar Price Outlook: NZD/JPY, NZD/CAD, NZD/CHF

Chart Created Using TradingView

NZD/CHF Technical Analysis

The New Zealand Dollar recently turned lower against the Swiss Franc following the emergence of a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern – see daily chart below. Downside Follow-through in NZD/CHF has been somewhat lackluster after a bounce off 0.6043. A push above 0.6164 – the August 2019 low – may open the door to testing the 0.6272 – 0.6330 resistance range. This area also closely aligns with a falling trend line from 2019. Resuming losses entails closing under rising support from the March bottom.

NZD/CHF - Daily Chart

New Zealand Dollar Price Outlook: NZD/JPY, NZD/CAD, NZD/CHF

Chart Created Using TradingView

--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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