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  • $USDJPY is continuing to trade at multi-month highs today, currently trading around the 106.90 level for the first time since August. $USD $JPY
  • $EURUSD support test at the big fig 1.2000 made a bit less exciting by the incursion earlier in February, but interesting setup given Panetta remarks
  • ECB's Panetta: - Should not hesitate to increase purchases and to spend the entire PEPP envelope or more if needed - Eventually, commitment to steering the yield curve may allow us to slow purchases - Must establish that unwarranted tightening will not be tolerated #ECB $EUR
  • ECB's Panetta - The steepening in the nominal GDP-weighted yield curve we have been seeing "is unwelcome and must be resisted" #ECB $EUR
  • - The central bank should broadly identify what level of nominal yields it is aiming to achieve; tailor its purchases to achieve that level; and to be ready to intervene to the extent necessary #ECB $EUR
  • ECB's Panetta: - We need to anchor key financial variables like lending rates and the yield curve to support recovery and inflation #ECB $EUR
  • ECB's Panetta: - 2021 is still "a pandemic year" - Policy support will have to remain in place well beyond the end of the pandemic #ECB $EUR
  • 🇨🇦 GDP Growth Rate Annualized (Q4) Actual: 9.6% Expected: 7.5% Previous: 40.6%
  • 🇨🇦 GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q4) Actual: 2.3% Previous: 8.9%
  • 🇨🇦 GDP MoM (DEC) Actual: 0.1% Expected: 0.3% Previous: 0.8%
Is the US Dollar Stalling Against SGD, MYR, IDR and PHP?

Is the US Dollar Stalling Against SGD, MYR, IDR and PHP?

Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist


  • US Dollar stalling against SGD, MYR, IDR and PHP
  • Medium-term price signals still favor an upside bias

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Singapore Dollar Technical Outlook

The Singapore Dollar has been making cautious gains against the US Dollar as of late. USD/SGD even took out a near-term rising support line from last month – thinner blue line on the chart below. The push above the Falling Wedge hints that recent price action might reflect a temporary correction however. This is typically a bullish chart pattern. From here, near-term support lays below at 1.3596 with key resistance above 1.3657.

Learn more about how the MAS conducts monetary policy and what matters for the Singapore Dollar!

USD/SGD Daily Chart

Is the US Dollar Stalling Against SGD, MYR, IDR and PHP?

USD/SGD Chart Created in TradingView

Malaysian Ringgit Technical Outlook

The US Dollar has also stalled its ascent against the Malaysian Ringgit after USD/MYR pushed above key descending resistance from the end of August – pink lines on the chart below. Prices are still hovering above support which is a combination of the former rising trend line from March and lows from September at 4.1630. A daily close above 4.1850 opens the door to uptrend resumption.

To stay updated on fundamental developments for ASEAN currencies, follow me on Twitter here @ddubrovskyFX

USD/MYR Daily Chart

USD/MYR Daily Chart

USD/MYR Chart Created in TradingView

Indonesian Rupiah Technical Outlook

The US Dollar has also lost its upside momentum against the Indonesian Rupiah. Still, USD/IDR’s push above the falling trend line from May is a notable technical achievement. With further upside confirmation, this could translate into a reversal of the dominant downtrend. Uptrend continuation entails taking out resistance at 14130. On the other hand, a push back below the falling trend line exposes support at 14035.

USD/IDR Daily Chart

USD/IDR Daily Chart

USD/IDR Chart Created in TradingView

Philippine Peso Technical Outlook

This is as the Philippine Peso continues to trade within a rising channel against the US Dollar. We have also seen a pullback in USD/PHP, but prices haven’t managed to breach the floor of the chart pattern. Clearing it opens the door to potentially revisiting lows from November with support at 50.40. If the currency pair continues conforming to the rising channel, it may eventually face resistance at 51.34.

USD/PHP Daily Chart

Is the US Dollar Stalling Against SGD, MYR, IDR and PHP?

USD/PHP Chart Created in TradingView

FX Trading Resources

--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Currency Analyst for

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.