We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 97.06%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 71.21%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/m74wuZZKeH
  • Commodities Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.42% Gold: -0.03% Oil - US Crude: -0.83% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/4cYiwWIL4E
  • What financial job opportunity in which location makes the cut for you? Find out! https://t.co/rrCpMM85Rt https://t.co/4rS0V6FiEm
  • Forex Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.33% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.20% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.00% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.02% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.03% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.05% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/GOEvZ8H1yT
  • Indices Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: 0.33% Germany 30: 0.31% FTSE 100: 0.29% US 500: -0.23% Wall Street: -0.44% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/0oIElrc66l
  • The Federal Reserve System (the Fed) was founded in 1913 by the United States Congress. The Fed’s actions and policies have a major impact on currency value, affecting many trades involving the US Dollar. Learn more about the Fed here: https://t.co/afobcd9GRa https://t.co/bn3jPwlxks
  • Arizona virus cases rise 5.1% vs prior 4.7% 7-day average - BBG
  • The US Dollar is entering the third quarter with its safe haven status tested by rising COVID cases and trade pressures. What are the key USD catalysts in these opening weeks of July? Download the 3Q guide from @JohnKicklighter to find out here: https://t.co/z3dYpQYiJa https://t.co/Eh2Pd9YZq7
  • Forex Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.26% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.16% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.06% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.00% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.04% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.08% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/xEQQA9wfDe
  • Indices Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: -0.37% Wall Street: -0.69% Germany 30: -0.84% France 40: -1.05% FTSE 100: -1.45% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/8qMWUcY2fh
Crude Oil Price Reversals Suddenly Shift Outlook Lower

Crude Oil Price Reversals Suddenly Shift Outlook Lower

2019-04-29 11:00:00
Paul Robinson, Strategist
Share:

Crude Oil Technical Highlights:

  • WTI crude oil posted weekly reversal around 2016 trend-line
  • Brent crude down-move facing channel support test already

To see what fundamental drivers are expected to drive oil through the remainder of the quarter, check out the Q2 Crude Oil Forecast.

WTI crude oil posted weekly reversal around 2016 trend-line

Last week, WTI appeared headed for more push higher into the 67s before retreating, but with Friday’s big down day a weekly reversal candle was cemented, and where it developed from was also important. In the vicinity of the past few weeks’ trading range is the trend-line, or lower parallel of a channel, off the 2016 low.

With oil becoming quite extended in recent weeks, rallying over 50% off the December low and then having such a powerful key-reversal event, the trading bias has firmly turned in favor of shorts. Looking at the daily time-frame a few angles of support are on the verge of breaking, which could soon have the 200-day and lower parallel of the channel since February in play; both in the 61/60-area.

At this time, it will require a fair amount of work to turn the picture back in favor of longs. As long as a bounce doesn’t overtake Friday’s big down day it looks as though shorts will continue to have the upper hand in the sessions ahead.

WTI Crude Oil Weekly Chart (Reversal at 2016 line)

Crude Oil Price Reversals Suddenly Shift Outlook Lower

WTI Crude Oil Daily Chart (support about to break)

Crude Oil Price Reversals Suddenly Shift Outlook Lower

Brent crude down-move facing channel support test already

Brent has been lagging behind WTI a bit lately, and with that the bottom of the comparable channel since February is already coming under fire. If a bounce develops off the lower parallel, then the low of the bounce will be used on any weakness that follows as a cue to look for downside momentum to pick up again. A break, whether from right here or after a bounce, will have the 200-day in focus, followed by the 2016 slope down near 67.

Brent Crude Oil Weekly Chart (bearish reversal)

Crude Oil Price Reversals Suddenly Shift Outlook Lower

Brent Crude Oil Daily Chart (break of channel to lead to lower prices)

Crude Oil Price Reversals Suddenly Shift Outlook Lower

Forex & CFD Trader Resources

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.