0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Join @PaulRobinsonFX 's #webinar at 5:30 AM ET/9:30 AM GMT for insight on London #FX and #CFD trading. Register here: https://t.co/AoM3UvLtcF https://t.co/Ivf0i9c1UX
  • New Zealand Dollar may fall as the NZD/JPY and NZD/CAD exchange rates struggle to breach pivotal resistance. Get your $NZD market update from @DanielGMoss here:https://t.co/9QophdOC6X https://t.co/Q3kA0W0Tmu
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 95.49%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 76.88%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/xT6YN1udNa
  • RT @IFM_Economist: For those saying the #RBA should cut the cash rate 25bp to 0% today, the effective cash rate is already at 0.13% to doin…
  • Commodities Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.13% Gold: -0.03% Oil - US Crude: -0.41% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/kUxV5Rnply
  • Forex Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.25% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.17% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.16% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.09% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.06% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.02% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/SaZz1bK4d0
  • 🇪🇸 Unemployment Change (JUL) Actual: -89.8K Previous: 5.1K https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-04
  • #Gold and silver prices may turn lower based on bearish signals from IG Client Sentiment. Technical signals also warn the XAG/USD may fall, will XAU/USD meet the same fate? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/zzO5TdogF4 https://t.co/nUTpwNO3xD
  • Indices Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: 0.45% Germany 30: 0.45% Wall Street: 0.33% US 500: 0.22% FTSE 100: -0.01% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/FsTXvFVtdO
  • Heads Up:🇪🇸 Unemployment Change (JUL) due at 07:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 5.1K https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-04
WTI & Brent Crude Oil Price Outlook Point to Increased Volatility Soon

WTI & Brent Crude Oil Price Outlook Point to Increased Volatility Soon

2019-03-11 14:00:00
Paul Robinson, Strategist
Share:

WTI/Brent Crude Oil Technical Highlights

  • WTI oil price action wedging up towards a breakout
  • Brent crude triangle building on 2016 trend-line

To see our intermediate fundamental and technical outlooks, check out the Crude Oil Forecast.

WTI oil price action wedging up towards a breakout

WTI (U.S.) crude oil has been undergoing a process of indecision and with it a narrowing range suggesting a breakout is very near. The developing wedge is at a point where it could break at any time, the question is in which direction?

Wedge-breaks are generally best to be reacted to and not predicted even if there are signs which imply one direction is more likely than the other, which is currently the case.

The trend off the December low (and Jan-current channel) points to higher prices, as does Friday’s semi-bullish reversal candle. With that in mind, a move higher looks more probable but still need to wait for a confirmed break.

There is solid resistance right around 57.60, so a break out of the triangle to the top-side through resistance will be needed to get WTI into gear. A possible target on a bullish break is the underside of the 2016 trend-line which at this time is in confluence with the 200-day MA.

On the flip-side, a breakdown below Friday’s low at 54.37 will have the 51.90/13 area in focus from Jan/Feb. In either event, up/down or a fake-break in one direction followed by reversing back the other way, traders need to be on high alert for an increase in volatility as price crunches towards a decision point.

WTI Crude oil Daily Chart (Wedge-break coming)

WTI crude oil daily chart, wedge-break soon

Brent crude triangle building on 2016 trend-line

Brent (U.K.) crude oil is of course playing out similar to the WTI contract, but with one interesting twist. It is sitting on the 2016 trend-line, a line that has seen much play since early December. Further confirming its importance most recently was Friday’s dip and reverse. Just below the long-term trend-line also lies a bed of support via the 63.70/62.70 zone.

Strong support coupled with the multi-month trend and triangle point to a move higher soon. The targeted area of resistance on a break above 67.73 is the low from August that is in confluence with the 200-day MA. A downside break, to put Brent in clearance of support, it will require a daily close below 62.70 to be safe.

Brent crude oil Daily Chart (Triangle on 2016 t-line)

Brent crude oil daily chart, triangle on 2016 t-line

Forex & CFD Trader Resources

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.