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Momentum Scorecard: British Pound and Swiss Franc Slip vs USD Intraday

Momentum Scorecard: British Pound and Swiss Franc Slip vs USD Intraday

2013-07-10 10:50:00
Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist
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Momentum_Scorecard_British_Pound_and_Swiss_Franc_Slip_vs_USD_Intraday_body_Picture_1.png, Momentum Scorecard: British Pound and Swiss Franc Slip vs USD Intraday

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TREND IN FOCUS: GBPUSD (D1)

Momentum_Scorecard_British_Pound_and_Swiss_Franc_Slip_vs_USD_Intraday_body_x0000_i1028.png, Momentum Scorecard: British Pound and Swiss Franc Slip vs USD Intraday

- The GBPUSD’s score has moderated to a less but still bearish score of -1.71; intraday bullishness is counteracting more prevalent intraweek and intramonth bearishness.

- The consolidation from mid-March to late-June is viewed as a Bear Flag in context of the January breakdown from the 2009, 2010, and 2012 lows; a move into $1.4200/300 is anticipated over the coming months.

- Bullish divergence on the H4 Slow Stochastics (5,3,3) has afforded the GBPUSD the opportunity to consolidate; a lack of any material rebound above 1.5000 while the divergence clears is a bearish sign.

- Resistance has been found around the H4 21-SMA; an Inverted Hammer formed last period and a turn in H4 Slow Stochastics (5,3,3) would suggest that the next leg lower is beginning.

Read more: GBPCAD: Stay Away from Carney!

*Trend definitions: “uptrend” is defined as 8-MA>21-MA>55-MA; “downtrend” is defined as 8-MA<21-MA<55-MA; a “trendless” market occurs when continuity is absent.

*Scoring methodology: there are seven time frames, ascending from m15 (15-minutes) to W1 (one-week). In ascending order, each pair is assigned a value from -7 to +7 based on the trend apparent on the specified time frame (I.E. a m15 uptrend equals +1, whereas a H1 downtrend equals -3). If neither an uptrend nor downtrend is present, the trendless timeframe receives a score of 0. These points are totaled and the average is reported on the right. The strongest uptrend would achieve a score of +4.00, while the strongest downtrend would achieve a score of -4.00.

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, Currency Analyst

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail cvecchio@dailyfx.com

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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