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Euro Surges - Is Now the Time to Sell?

Euro Surges - Is Now the Time to Sell?

2012-09-14 14:20:00
David Rodriguez, Head of Product
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The Euro continues to surge against the US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) as it currently trades a whopping 1000+ pips off of its July lows and less than 400 pips short of year-to-date highs. But how high can it go, and is now a good time to sell?

Cons against selling Euro against the US Dollar

Fundamental developments prop up Euro as Spain nears reform package

US Federal Reserve KO’s the Dollar as it announces open-ended Quantitative Easing

Pros in favor of selling Euro against the US Dollar:

The 1.3100 – 1.3145 range represents HUGE resistance on Euro/US Dollar

Despite announcing indefinite QE, Fed raises forecasts for US Growth

is_now_the_time_to_sell_euro_dollar_body_Picture_5.png, Euro Surges - Is Now the Time to Sell?

A short position is risky at these levels, but potential reward against risk is significant. Ultimately we may need to see signs of potential reversal before advocating short positions at these levels. Given the speed at which the Euro has surged, there’s arguably not enough evidence that now is indeed the best moment to sell.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive the Speculative Sentiment Index and other reports from this author via e-mail, send a message with subject line “Distribution List” to drodriguez@dailyfx.com;

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Meet the DailyFX team in Las Vegas at the annual FXCM Traders Expo, November 2-4, 2012 at the Rio All Suite Hotel & Casino. For additional information regarding the schedule, workshops and accommodations, visit the FXCM Trading Expo website.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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