Skip to Content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View More
Monthly Forex Seasonality – November 2022: Stocks Rally, US Dollar Ranges, Gold Falls

Monthly Forex Seasonality – November 2022: Stocks Rally, US Dollar Ranges, Gold Falls

Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist

November FX Seasonality Overview:

  • The eleventh month of the year typically sees a more neutral environment for the US Dollar.
  • November has been a bad month for gold prices over the past 5- and 10-year periods.
  • If there was ever a time for US stocks to bottom, seasonally speaking, it would be in November.
Top Trading Opportunities in Q4
Top Trading Opportunities in Q4
Recommended by Christopher Vecchio, CFA
Get Your Free Top Trading Opportunities Forecast
Get My Guide

The beginning of the month warrants a review of the seasonal patterns that have influenced forex markets over the past several years. For November, our focus is on the trailing 5-year and 10-year performances, both of which capture trading during the winddown of aggressive central bank intervention beginning with the 2008/2009 Global Financial Crisis – not dissimilar from the environment we find ourselves in now.

There remains the disclaimer for trusting seasonality data in 2022, however. This atypical environment has diminished the viability of using seasonality as a reliable guide for price action. Global supply chains are still in disarray – from energy to shipping as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and China’s zero-COVID strategy – while developed economies are inching ever-closer towards stagflation.

Monthly Forex Seasonality Summary – November 2022

Forex for Beginners
Forex for Beginners
Recommended by Christopher Vecchio, CFA
Forex for Beginners
Get My Guide

Forex Seasonality in Euro (via EUR/USD)

November is a mixed month for EUR/USD, from a seasonality perspective. Over the past 5-years, it has been the sixth best month of the year for the pair, averaging a gain of +0.31%. Over the past 10-years, it has been the second worst month of the year, averaging a loss of -0.63%.

Forex Seasonality in British Pound (via GBP/USD)

November is a slightly bullish month for GBP/USD, from a seasonality perspective. Over the past 5-years, it has been the sixth best month of the year for the pair, averaging a gain of +0.33%. Over the past 10-years, it has been the fifth best month of the year, averaging a gain of +0.05%.

Forex Seasonality in Japanese Yen (via USD/JPY)

November isa mixed month for USD/JPY, from a seasonality perspective. Over the past 5-years, it has been the sixth worst month of the year for the pair, averaging a loss of -0.02%. Over the past 10-years, it has been the best month of the year, averaging a gain of +2.43%.

Forex Seasonality in Australian Dollar (via AUD/USD)

November is a slightly bearish month for AUD/USD, from a seasonality perspective. Over the past 5-years, it has been the fifth worst month of the year for the pair, averaging a loss of -0.10%. Over the past 10-years, it has been the second worst month of the year, averaging a loss of -0.87%.

How to Trade AUD/USD
How to Trade AUD/USD
Recommended by Christopher Vecchio, CFA
How to Trade AUD/USD
Get My Guide

Forex Seasonality in New Zealand Dollar (via NZD/USD)

November isa bullish month for NZD/USD, from a seasonality perspective. Over the past 5-years, it has been the third best month of the year for the pair, averaging a gain of +1.32%. Over the past 10-years, it has been the sixth worth month of the year, averaging a gain of +0.15%.

Forex Seasonality in Canadian Dollar (via USD/CAD)

November is a bullish month for USD/CAD, from a seasonality perspective. Over the past 5-years, it has been the third best month of the year for the pair, averaging a gain of +0.55%. Over the past 10-years, it has been the second best month of the year, averaging a gain of +0.77%.

Forex Seasonality in Swiss Franc (via USD/CHF)

November is a mixed month for USD/CHF, from a seasonality perspective. Over the past 5-years, it has been the sixth worst month of the year for the pair, averaging a loss of -0.33%. Over the past 10-years, it has been the fifth best month of the year, averaging a gain of +0.52%.

Forex Seasonality in US S&P 500

November isa very bullish month for the US S&P 500, from a seasonality perspective. Over the past 5-years, it has been the second best month of the year for the index, averaging a gain of +3.58%. Over the past 10-years, it has been the best month of the year, averaging a gain of +2.69%.

Forex Seasonality in Gold (via XAU/USD)

November is a very bearish month for gold (XAU/USD), from a seasonality perspective. Over the past 5-years, it has been the second worst month of the year for the precious metal, averaging a loss of -1.68%. Over the past 10-years, it has been the worst month of the year, averaging a loss of -2.94%.

The Quiz
Discover what kind of forex trader you are
Start Quiz

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES