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  • $USDCHF fell back below the 0.9200 level today, hitting a fresh six week low. The US Treasury removed the currency manipulator label from Switzerland earlier today. $USD $CHF https://t.co/IjSkZgmzew
  • Forex Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇦CAD: 0.37% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.37% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.25% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.07% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.19% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.31% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/mrrJhI6OQD
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  • Indices Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: 1.21% France 40: 0.81% Wall Street: 0.42% FTSE 100: 0.32% US 500: 0.22% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/VMIGdHYoL4
  • The Treasury's FX Manipulator designation list is clear as of this morning's update yet the SNB reiterated currency intervention is necessary as part of its monetary policy but it's 'not manipulation'. Hmm.
  • The Pound faces short-term risks which are putting pressure on an overly optimistic start of the year. EUR/GBP buyers consolidate further upside momentum. Get your $EURGBP market update from @HathornSabin here:https://t.co/G4tNYbYSLE https://t.co/XPErcUKT8A
  • - Fed's dot plot of forecasts on rates isn't helping us - Markets are getting ahead of themselves in terms of expecting rate hikes
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  • RT @NYFedResearch: The majority of businesses say they expect to see a rebound in revenues post-pandemic in response to special questions i…
Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 Forecasts for the Week Ahead

Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 Forecasts for the Week Ahead

Paul Robinson, Strategist

Indices Technical Forecast:

  • S&P 500 trying to stabilize and reassert its upward trend
  • Dow Jones maintaining, but has potentially bearish price sequence
  • Nasdaq 100 in a precarious spot, could be a bad omen for the broader market
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S&P 500 Technical Forecast

The S&P 500 has been coming off the recent highs, but in a fairly controlled fashion as momentum has been relatively muted. Perhaps the pullback is over or very nearly so, but with the NDX looking the way it does (see below), the pullback could turn into an outright decline.

Looking lower, the first meaningful level of support clocks in by way of a pair of slopes running higher from September and November. This puts support around the 3815 mark. Looking at the top-side, the prior record high is the first and only visible level of resistance at 3893.

S&P 500 Daily Chart (slope support below)

spx

S&P 500 Chart by Tradingview

Dow Jones Technical Forecast

The Dow Jones has been the strongest of the major averages, but does have potential to validate a broader topping sequence in the form of a rising wedge. For now, the lower side of the wedge (also in confluence with the March trend-line) is viewed as trend support, but if broken then look for a larger, possibly much larger decline to unfold. Resistance currently clocks in at the old high of 33227.

Dow Jones Daily Chart (trend up, but watch for wedge break)

dow jones

Dow Jones Chart by Tradingview

Nasdaq 100 Technical Forecast

The Nasdaq 100 at the moment is in a precarious position as a significant lower-high may have already been carved out at 13297. Right now the NDX has retraced about half of the rise off the monthly low, and if it can’t get into gear here soon, more momentum could kick in with risk shifting towards a visit of the 200-day MA.

If, however, the market can stave off a decline from here, then a close above 13300 will put the NDX in the driver’s seat back towards the prior record high at 13879. The next few days could prove pivotal for the not only the tech/growth heavy index, but the market as a whole.

Nasdaq 100 Daily Chart (lower high scenario possibly in play)

ndx

Nasdaq 100 Chart by Tradingview

Resources for Forex Traders

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at@PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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