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  • A pretty clean break from $SPX and other risk-sensitive assets are following along. As Hans Landa said in Inglorious Basterds: "Ooooooo. That's a Bingo"
  • US Dollar Index reaches a multi-month high as markets strike a risk-off tone $USD $DXY
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 93.13%, while traders in GBP/JPY are at opposite extremes with 70.14%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:
  • EUR/USD sheds 40-pips in a matter of minutes as the US Dollar strengthens broadly. Get your $EURUSD market update from @RichDvorakFX here:
  • Well, I don't think Powell will temper interest/concern around central banks having to pullback in the foreseeable future. Both 'taper tantrum' and 'operation twist' search interest charging higher:
  • Indices Update: As of 19:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: -0.86% FTSE 100: -1.20% France 40: -1.27% Wall Street: -2.32% US 500: -2.53% View the performance of all markets via
  • Nasdaq now down over 3% today, confirming 10% correction territory. $QQQ
  • $USDCHF has continued to strength today, now above the 0.9280 level, trading around the highs hit in late September. The pair has performed strongly since mid February as US rates have continued higher, rising from 0.8900 by nearly 400 pips to its current levels. $USD $CHF
  • Against the backdrop of rising bond yields, both the Bank of England and European Central Bank will meet over the next two weeks. Get your market update from @CVecchioFX here:
  • Oil - US Crude IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now at their least net-long Oil - US Crude since Jan 06 when Oil - US Crude traded near 5,008.80. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to Oil - US Crude strength.
Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, DAX 30 Forecasts for the Week Ahead

Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, DAX 30 Forecasts for the Week Ahead

Peter Hanks, Strategist

Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, DAX 30 Forecasts: Bullish


Dow Jones Technical Forecast

Outlook: Bullish

The Dow Jones returned to record levels last week after undergoing turbulence in late January. While the fundamental landscape and market sentiment have shifted in recent weeks, the longer-term technical outlook remains constructive despite recent volatility. Still, the Dow will need to avoid breaking beneath a few key trendlines if it is to continue its gradual climb higher.

Dow Jones Price Chart: Daily Time Frame (January 2018 – February 2021)

Dow Jones Daily Chart

To that end, support along the ascending trendline projection from March can be viewed as pivotal landmark for the Industrial Average as a break beneath could see the Dow extend lower. Aside from the March trendline, a rising trendline from January 2018 may play a role in the shorter-term as the Dow looks to overtake recent highs. Should bearishness return, the level might offer some semblance of support.

Still, the longer-term technical landscape remains encouraging as recent volatility failed to pierce any of the longstanding trendlines and resistance is essentially nonexistent apart from the index’s record highs.

Equities Forecast
Equities Forecast
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Nasdaq 100Technical Forecast

Outlook: Bullish

The Nasdaq 100 finds itself in a similar position, trading at record levels headed into the week. A series of ascending trendlines have offered influence at various stages, but the common theme throughout is their bullish nature. While the tech-heavy index may continue to bounce between them on an intraday basis - creating opportunities for traders utilizing shorter range-trading strategies - the longer-term takeaway is that a continuation higher seems likely.

Nasdaq 100 Price Chart: 4 – Hour Time Frame (October 2020 – February 2021)

Nasdaq 100 4-Hour Chart

Pullbacks may serve as healthy consolidation as the series of higher-highs and higher-lows looks poised to continue. In the meantime, follow @PeterHanksFXon Twitter for updates and analysis.

DAX 30 Technical Forecast

Outlook: Neutral

The DAX 30 has enjoyed a formidable rally to start the month after surging more than 5% in a single week. Gains have seen the German equity index return to its January 2021 high near 14,130. Friday’s price action, however, revealed an inability to continue higher, likely due to resistance derived from the prior high. That said, the index trades narrowly beneath the level which is one of the few barriers standing in the way of further gains.

DAX 30 Price Chart: 4 - Hour Time Frame (October 2020 – February 2021)

DAX 30 4-Hour Chart

With that in mind, a break above 14,130 might allow the DAX 30 to drive higher still as it looks to keep pace with the US indices. Still, European equities have shown time and time again that they lack the bullish conviction observed in their American counterparts, so a weekly close narrowly beneath resistance results in a neutral bias in the shorter-term headed into the week. Consequently, bullish strategies might be better explored in the Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones, S&P 500 or even Russell 2000.

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--Written by Peter Hanks, Strategist for

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.