News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • The Euro has slipped to an intraday low amidst the German Greens surging to a lead over Merkel's CDU in a new poll. $EUR $USD https://t.co/gfvNseRNvc
  • $USDCAD has strengthened today, rising to a one week high near the 1.2600 level. The Canadian Dollar has suffered amidst a drop in oil prices and extended travel restrictions. $USD $CAD https://t.co/O2z7grrFYi
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.55%, while traders in Germany 30 are at opposite extremes with 80.61%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/RVkYfiOzPq
  • In line with the general risk-off sentiment, oil prices have come under notable selling pressure with both Brent and WTI crude futures falling 2-2.5%. Get your #crudeoil market update from @JMcQueenFX here:https://t.co/K0zJL8BFj1 https://t.co/wMn3kNFhwC
  • Commodities Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: 0.49% Silver: 0.42% Oil - US Crude: -1.41% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/CqYIho6z47
  • Forex Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.08% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.07% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.04% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.17% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.23% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.30% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/GC3sr4bk5B
  • - Recovery in the US is improving - The increase in Covid cases is concerning, but vaccines give optimism for a return to more normal conditions later this year
  • - Fed bond buying is at a pace "unrelated to magnitude of fiscal deficits" - Low Treasury yields show there is strong global demand for stable and liquid investments
  • Fed Chair Powell: - Too low inflation harms American families and businesses - We do not anticipate high inflation, but have the tools to address pressures if they arise #Fed $USD
  • looking forward to this, webinar starts in an hour. Topics on the radar: 1) USD Q2 Weakness 2) Gold brewing bullish potential? 3) Stonks through initial earnings outlays https://www.dailyfx.com/webinars/643096611 https://t.co/6YNhrv8E31
Gold Price Weekly Technical Outlook: XAU at Support, Fresh 2019 Lows

Gold Price Weekly Technical Outlook: XAU at Support, Fresh 2019 Lows

Michael Boutros, Strategist

Gold prices have plummeted more than 5.5% off the 2019 highs with the precious metal probing fresh yearly lows to trade at 1274 ahead of the New York close on Thursday. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the XAU/USD weekly chart. for an in-depth breakdown of this setup and more.

New to Gold Trading? Get started with this How to Trade Gold -Beginners Guide

Gold Weekly Price Chart (XAU/USD)

Gold

Notes: In my last Gold Weekly Technical Outlook we noted that a weekly doji formation off the monthly highs left the risk, “weighted to the downside while below 1302,” with near-term support eyed, “at 1275/76 - “where the objective yearly opening-range low converges on the 38.2% retracement of the 2018 advance and former pitchfork resistance.” XAU/USD is testing this threshold now with a weekly close below needed to keep the short-bias viable heading into next week.

A downside break targets broader bullish invalidation at ~1253/58- a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 100% extension of the decline off the yearly highs and the 50% retracement of the 2018 advance (area of interest for possible exhaustion IF reached). Monthly open resistance stands at 1292 with a breach above the 2019 high-week close at 1327 needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend.

For a complete breakdown of Michael’s trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy

Bottom line: Gold is trading into confluence support here on the back of a five-day decline. While a break of the monthly opening-range lows does keep the focus lower into the close of April, price is now testing the yearly lows and a weekly close below former pitchfork resistance is needed to keep the short-bias in play. From at trading standpoint, a good place to reduce short-exposure / lower protective stops – be on the lookout for near-term exhaustion / recovery. Review my latest Gold Price Technical Outlook for a closer look at the near-term trading levels.

Even the most seasoned traders need a reminder every now and then- Avoid these Mistakes in your trading

Gold Trader Sentiment

Gold Sentiment
  • A summary of IG Client Sentiment shows traders are net-long Gold - the ratio stands at +2.88 (74.2% of traders are long) – bearish reading
  • Long positions are2.3% higher than yesterday and 9.5% higher from last week
  • Short positions are 3.1% higher than yesterday and 6.0% higher from last week
  • We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Goldprices (XAU/USD) may continue to fall. Traders are less net-long than yesterday but more net-long from last week and the combination of current positioning and recent changes gives us a further mixed Gold trading bias from a sentiment standpoint.

See how shifts in Gold retail positioning are impacting trend- Learn more about sentiment!

Learn how to Trade with Confidence in our Free Trading Guide

--- Written by Michael Boutros, Technical Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex

Other Weekly Technical Forecast:

Crude Oil Forecast: 50% Off the Lows � Can Bulls Continue Rally

British Pound Forecast: GBPUSD, EURGBP & GBPNZD

US Dollar Forecast: Big Test of Resistance Nearing

Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD and EUR/AUD May Be at Turning Points, Facing Trend Lines

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES