News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • it never ends :s https://t.co/kHS7Smk398
  • RT @JakeSherman: 🚨🚨 Manchin a no on billionaire tax! After Sinema was a no on raising marginal and corporate rates.
  • RT @DeItaone: NRF SAYS EXPECTS RETAILERS WILL HIRE BETWEEN 500,000 AND 665,000 SEASONAL WORKERS
  • BoC's Macklem - There is likely less excess supply in the economy than we thought there would be - Evidence suggests higher prices are not becoming embedded in expectations of ongoing inflation - reasonable tp expect reinvestment phase last until at least we raise rates $CAD
  • The @bankofcanada decided to hold rates constant at 0.25% which is in line with market expectations. Get your market update from @WVenketas here:https://t.co/nl1xnTe4hG https://t.co/IcDPRZOhRh
  • Libya's NOC has major leak in Es Sider Pipeline, requiring 7-10 day shutdown for maintenance - NOC Media Office
  • Forex Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇦CAD: 0.42% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.38% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.24% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.08% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.01% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.32% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/y4jjMS9cR8
  • Indices Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.01% Wall Street: -0.21% FTSE 100: -0.36% France 40: -0.43% Germany 30: -0.48% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/gNPt4KOEr4
  • Commodities Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: -0.26% Silver: -0.58% Oil - US Crude: -0.82% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/NxD9Q7YGZt
  • Governing Council has decided to end quantitative easing and keep its overall holdings of Government of Canada bonds roughly constant. $CAD reaction https://t.co/ftFHumQoEv
US Dollar Weekly Technical Outlook: Big Test of Resistance Nearing

US Dollar Weekly Technical Outlook: Big Test of Resistance Nearing

Paul Robinson, Strategist

US Dollar Technical Highlights:

  • Top of wedge in for a test
  • Watch how market responds at resistance

Check out the DailyFX Trading Guides page for intermediate-term forecasts, educational content aimed all experience levels, and more!

Top of USD wedge in for a test

The US Dollar Index (DXY) finally broke free a little on Thursday, if you can call it that with volatility so low, pushing on towards the top of the longer-term wedge formation. Now, with the prospect of a move into the 9770 area, can buyers drive it through or will we see another turn back down?

The current lackluster environment suggests more of the same lies ahead, that is a failure at resistance and for the broad ascending wedge pattern to continue the maturation process in the weeks ahead. A turnabout near resistance will again spin the near-term trading bias to the downside as more tightening in the range unfolds.

If, however, a clean breakout can sustain itself above the resistance in place since November, then we could be in for a material move higher as the DXY finds itself trading in open space. Where it could rise to is difficult to say just yet, but given the overall length of time price has stayed constrained it could be substantial.

The days ahead could hold an important pass or fail proposition. If a failure develops and the short-term bias turns negative again it will mean more of the same and possibly further tightening of trading conditions. And while this may indeed be so, pulling back to the big picture this may turn out to be the best scenario as the wedge formation gathers more power through a continued coiling of price action…

Check out the IG Client Sentiment page to find out how changes in positioning in major markets could signal the next price move.

DXY Daily Chart (Top of wedge coming into play…)

DXY

Helpful Resources for Forex Traders

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at@PaulRobinsonFX

Other Weekly Technical Forecast:

Crude Oil Forecast: 50% Off the Lows ? Can Bulls Continue Rally

British Pound Forecast: GBPUSD, EURGBP & GBPNZD

Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD and EUR/AUD May Be at Turning Points, Facing Trend Lines

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES