We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
More View more
Real Time News
  • #Euro area stocks may be preparing to break the four-month uptrend built around hopes for a US-China trade deal and an orderly #Brexit outcome. Get your market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/ujlCJiXLvh https://t.co/INdFtsrTTF
  • What is the top market moving theme for the coming week? I disagree with the majority. '$EURUSD, $GBPUSD and $AUDUSD Top Volatility Candidates With #Fed, #Election, #TradeWar' https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2019/12/07/EURUSD-GBPUSD-and-AUDUSD-Top-Volatility-Candidates-On-Fed-Election-Trade-War.html?CHID=9&QPID=917719 https://t.co/Q1dbZVN5Us
  • The Australian Dollar was focused on its home country in the past week, but that is likely to change sharply in the days ahead with major global risk events coming up. Get your $AUDUSD market update from @DavidCottleFX here: https://t.co/yZz3hCyVMx https://t.co/1xw1JHwd7l
  • The #Euro broke chart resistance, threatening to challenge the bounds of its longer -term downtrend against the $USD. Bulls may find it premature to celebrate however. Get your market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/VfR13llYbW https://t.co/LiWTvIygxc
  • The $USD appears to be stalling against the Singapore Dollar, Malaysian Ringgit, Indonesian Rupiah and Philippine Peso, but technical analysis may still favor USD strength. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/AZp98MoXKo https://t.co/jgZMUFVGJB
  • The Indian Rupee soared after the Reserve Bank of India surprised with a rate hold. $USDINR may climb as support reinstates the uptrend ahead of Indian CPI and global trade tensions. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/QEOabsDfMn https://t.co/rqn8Zjrvkv
  • #Gold closed lower after paring early-week gains post-NFP on Friday. But will price finally break support? These are levels that matter on the $XAUUSD weekly chart. Get your $gld technical analysis from @MBForex here: https://t.co/RILBGhLAQZ https://t.co/q5znMUlEQA
  • German Bund Yields Update: 2-Year: -0.639% 3-Year: -0.651% 5-Year: -0.548% 7-Year: -0.480% 10-Year: -0.290% 30-Year: 0.228%
  • The $AUD erased half of November’s down move in a mere two days but the dominant trend bias continues to favor weakness ahead. Get your market update from @IlyaSpivak here:https://t.co/ShYksfNXyS https://t.co/OVhyNgLRn5
  • We were almost there, but the $SPX fell short of a >1.0% daily change. That raises the tally to 39 consecutive trading days without a climb or fall of even a moderate measure https://t.co/ibt82dBGmh
Sterling Weekly Technical Outlook: GBPUSD & EURGBP Trends Creaking

Sterling Weekly Technical Outlook: GBPUSD & EURGBP Trends Creaking

2019-04-06 10:00:00
Nick Cawley, Analyst

Sterling FX-Pairs Technical Analysis

  • GBPUSD stuck below trend resistance after recent break.
  • EURGBP pushed up through recent downtrend.

Looking for a fundamental perspective on GBP? Check out the Weekly GBP Fundamental Forecast.

Q1 Trading Forecasts for a wide range of Currencies and Commodities, including GBPUSD and EURGBP with our fundamental and technical medium-term technical outlook.

How to Combine Fundamental and Technical Analysis.

GBPUSD remains above the 1.3000 handle but is finding further upside increasingly difficult after the 2019 trendline turned from support to resistance over the last few sessions. A new downtrend is in place off the March 13 high at 1.3383 and this may hold sway over the next few days unless there is a fundamental shift in ongoing Brexit talks. An interesting confluence of technical indicators is on the cards at the start of next week when the 2019 uptrend meets the recent downtrend and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement around the 1.3175 level. If this level continues to weigh on GBPUSD, then support will start between 1.2980 and 1.3000, ahead of the 200-day moving average - currently at 1.2955 - before the 23.6% Fib retracement comes into play at 1.2894.Support may come from the CCI indicator which is starting to flash an oversold signal around the -100 level.

GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (June 2018 – April 5, 2019)


Today’ break of the downtrend from March 21 has left EURGBP in position to move slightly higher but overhead resistance should keep the move in check, all Brexit things being equal. Today’s move higher has also seen the 0.8624 Fibonacci retracement level traded and a close above here would bring in the 0.8671 – 0.8675 level into play before 0.8718 – Fibonacci 38.2% - and the March 21 high at 0.8723 come into play. These levels look likely to hold in the short-term, aided as well by the CCI indicator that is nearing overbought territory. To move lower a close below the recent downtrend will bring into play 0.8518 ahead of 0.8503 and 0.8482 and the multi-month low at 0.8472.

Central Bank Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market.

EURGBP Daily Price Chart (October 2018 – April 5, 2019)


How Central Banks Impact the Forex Market

DailyFX has a vast amount of resources to help traders make more informed decisions. These include a fully updated Economic Calendar, and a raft of constantly updated Educational and Trading Guides

--- Written by Nick Cawley, Analyst

To contact Nick, email him at nicholas.cawley@ig.com

Follow Nick on Twitter @nickcawley1

Other Weekly Technical Forecast:

Australian Dollar Forecast - AUD/USD Outlook Mixed, AUD/NZD and GBP/AUD Flirt with New Trends

Oil Forecast - Crude Oil Prices Hit Fresh 5-Month High with Eyes Glued on Dow and Risk

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.


News & Analysis at your fingertips.