News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • The AB=CD pattern is simple once you know how to spot it and draw the proper Fibonacci retracements. Make your trading strategy as simple as ABCD here: https://t.co/AKmlmaAZBS https://t.co/ukvZfr6BXf
  • BoE’s Tenreyro says evidence on negative rates are “encouraging” Meanwhile, STOXX Europe Banks Index resides at all time lows https://t.co/bBYcLrtXhj
  • What is the outlook for financial markets ahead of the first presidential debate and how are Democratic nominee Joe Biden and President Donald Trump doing in the polls? Find out from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/QQwAZTxZFg https://t.co/yy0FTn9Pnp
  • Anti-fiat #gold prices suffered the worst week since August as the US Dollar gained ground. Will losses extend? All eyes turn to fiscal stimulus hopes and non-farm payrolls data. Get your #metals update from @ddubrovskyFX here: https://t.co/054CJvOWw4 https://t.co/BzODShHmqH
  • The US Dollar could gain as it forms bullish technical formations against the Singapore Dollar and Malaysian Ringgit. USD/PHP may have bottomed, will USD/IDR rise next? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/3UIKmbLIvD https://t.co/me8wMRpJjE
  • What is seasonal change in volatility. Are we going through one right now? Find out: https://t.co/G0qfpOmMl2 https://t.co/HXCQzUQgxA
  • The US Dollar will be bracing for a cascade of political risks including the first presidential debate, ongoing stimulus talks, the Supreme Court vacancy against the backdrop of key employment data. Get your #currencies update from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/quU4MmUjxA https://t.co/jF6ubwRz1P
  • The Indian Rupee may be at risk to the US Dollar as USD/INR attempts to refocus to the upside. This is as the Nifty 50, India’s benchmark stock index, could fall further. Get your $USDINR market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/3wsYlSxd26 https://t.co/PfIVibmqn1
  • Did you know a Doji candlestick signals market indecision and the potential for a change in direction. What are the top five types of Doji candlesticks? Find out: https://t.co/td5WA4hCZC https://t.co/lKvEMf4QRe
  • Weakness in equity markets continued last week as losses built and technical patterns hint further bearishness might be ahead. Get your #equities update from @PeterHanksFX here: https://t.co/GGVrB3r7if https://t.co/HPHUC8EG3o
Gold Price Weekly Technical Outlook: XAU/USD Rebound to Fizzle

Gold Price Weekly Technical Outlook: XAU/USD Rebound to Fizzle

2019-03-16 22:00:00
Michael Boutros, Strategist
Share:

Gold is carving a monthly opening-range just below Fib resistance and keeps the price breakout vulnerable. Here are the levels that matter on the XAU/USD weekly chart.

Gold prices are poised for a second weekly advance with the precious metal up 0.37% to trade at 1303 ahead of the New York close on Friday. Here are the key targets & invalidation levels that matter on the Gold (XAU/USD) weekly chart.

New to Gold Trading? Get started with this Free How to Trade Gold -Beginners Guide

Gold Weekly Price Chart (XAU/USD)

XAUUSD

Notes:In my previous Gold Weekly Technical Outlook we noted that, “The immediate focus is on a reaction lower towards the yearly range lows,” after price reversed just pips from the 2018 high-week close at 1350. The decline registered a low at 1280 before rebounding precisely off former pitchfork resistance, now support and is poised to close at key pivot zone we’ve been tracking at the 2018 open at 1303.

Recent price action suggests the threat remains for another low in price before resumption of the broader uptrend. That said, key support remains at the yearly opening-range lows / 38.2% retracement at 1275/76 – a break below there would expose a drop toward broader bullish invalidation at 1253. Resistance stands with the yearly high-week close at 1327 with a topside breach there shifting the focus back toward the 2018 high-week close at 1350.

For a complete breakdown of Michael’s trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy

Bottom line:

Weakness beyond 1303 would leave the price vulnerable to another attempt at the yearly lows – look for a bigger reaction there IF reached. From a trading standpoint, the threat is lower but ultimately the decline may offer more favorable long-entries closer to slope support. Stabilization above monthly open resistance at 1313 would bode well for the bulls. Review my latest Gold Price Outlook for a closer look at the near-term trading levels.

Even the most seasoned traders need a reminder every now and then-Avoid these Mistakes in your trading

Gold Trader Sentiment

Gold
  • A summary of IG Client Sentiment shows traders are net-long Gold - the ratio stands at +2.9 (74.4% of traders are long) – bearish reading
  • Long positions are 1.3% higher than yesterday and 9.8% lower from last week
  • Short positions are9.7% lower than yesterday and 10.0% higher from last week
  • We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Gold prices may continue to fall. Traders are more net-long than yesterday but less net-long from last week and the combination of current positioning and recent changes gives us a further mixed Gold (XAU/USD) trading bias from a sentiment standpoint.

See how shifts in Gold retail positioning are impacting trend- Learn more about sentiment!

Learn how to Trade with Confidence in our Free Trading Guide

--- Written by Michael Boutros, Technical Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex

Other Weekly Technical Forecast:

AUD Forecast – AUD/USD, GBP/AUD and AUD/JPY Technical Outlook Bearish

Crude Oil Forecast– Prices Touches New 2019 High As OPEC Supply Doubts Remain

British Pound Forecast – Charts Highlight Bullish GBP Bias

US Dollar Forecast – Dollar Reverses in Large Range, EURUSD Pressure Builds Towards Break

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES