0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Fed's Rosengren says the #Fed has been clear that negative interest rates are unlikely to be used
  • Back from vacation and back on schedule Going live for today's stock market webinar in 10 minutes - https://t.co/rmwDABTiN2 https://t.co/oC3Igu2muT
  • I've seen three more headlines today suggesting that there is significant money still on the sidelined despite the climb in markets. Is the assumption that some small tech milestone or new headline would excite investors to pay record amounts to get into a stretched market?
  • Forex Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇭CHF: 0.57% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.41% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.40% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.14% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.16% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.43% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/3mZjwCXcwc
  • Indices Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 2.39% France 40: 1.37% US 500: 1.29% Germany 30: 1.14% Wall Street: 0.97% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/3rljxp4YdZ
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 Fed Kaplan Speech due at 15:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-12
  • Poll: What do you think set off Gold's sharp tumble yesterday - its largest single-day plunge since the April 2013 crash? Answering this question for yourself can help you decide whether this is a temporary waver or the impetus for a new trend.
  • Uber CEO says a temporary shutdown in California is possible according to CNBC $UBER stock price largely indifferent thus far
  • 🇺🇸 EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (07/AUG) Actual: 1.336M Previous: 0.532M https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-12
  • 🇺🇸 EIA Distillate Stocks Change (07/AUG) Actual: -2.322M Expected: 0.357M Previous: 1.592M https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-12
EUR/USD Weekly Technical Outlook: Higher-low, Support Test, or Nothing?

EUR/USD Weekly Technical Outlook: Higher-low, Support Test, or Nothing?

2018-07-14 11:05:00
Paul Robinson, Strategist
Share:

EUR/USD Technical Highlights:

  • EUR/USD higher low on ‘hidden’ support could be in the works
  • Or, a big retest of the low-11500s could also be in store, or
  • Another week of range-bound, summer trading conditions

Check out our intermediate-term fundamental and technical perspective on EUR/USD in the recently released DailyFX Q3 Euro Forecast.

The last few days brought with them the potential for yet another test of major support in the low-11500s, an area EUR/USD has held on three occasions since late-May. Will it hold, fold, or was Friday’s decline and recovery the carving out of a higher-low from not so obvious support?

There is a trend-line from January 2017 running through the bottom of recent price action which also coincides with a lower parallel on the 4-hr chart, this could provide the means to put in place a higher low. However, a break below the lower-parallel/trend-line and an important test of big-picture support will likely develop.

If a higher-low has in fact developed as of Friday, or very close to doing so, then a move higher next week could gain traction. But the euro has its work cut out for it if this is the case, with an upward hill to climb.

On a decline down to around 11500 the market will test buyers’ resolve. A fourth hold will keep the euro buoyed, and bring to light the distinct possibility of a descending wedge formation maturing in the days/weeks ahead. A break below key support will have price resuming its downhill roll from the spring.

Whether we are in for a higher-low, a test and hold of the low-11500s, or breakdown in the week ahead, it looks like it could be another important stretch of days. Or, the euro may be in for some summer doldrums and bounce around with little conviction in either direction.

Gotten a little off track? It’s happens. Check out these 4 ideas to help rebuild your confidence.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD daily chart, lines, wedge

EUR/USD 4-hr Chart

EUR/USD 4-hr, lower parallel support

EUR/USD Sentiment

As per IGCS, traders are effectively net flat at a ratio of 1.09, which looks about right when taking recent price action into consideration. Should we see a sudden jump in traders shorting (bullish) or buying (bearish) it could be a sign of pending momentum given the recent lull. To see more details regarding sentiment and how it acts as a contrarian indicator, check out the IG Client Sentiment page.

EUR/USD IG Client Sentiment

EUR/USD IG Client Sentiment

Helpful Resources for Forex Traders

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at@PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.