We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Join @PaulRobinsonFX 's #webinar at 5:30 AM ET/9:30 AM GMT to gain insight on indices and commodities for the active trader. Register here: https://t.co/gghsFsZYlx https://t.co/MpELL4brE5
  • The Canadian Dollar has proven stable in recent weeks following a dramatic turn lower in March, guided to the downside by energy markets. Get your $USDCAD market update from @CVecchioFX here: https://t.co/7tlrn74X3t https://t.co/dXPFiHz6EA
  • Idea de #trading del día: $GBPUSD e #IBEX35 https://t.co/keSNWeUnM5 https://t.co/Cxv4P4zZWc
  • Heads Up:💶 ECB Guindos Speech due at 08:30 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-27
  • ECB PRESIDENT LAGARDE: - No new Euro debt crisis after pandemic, what matters is how borrowed money is spent - Not overly concerned about high debt levels #EUR #ECB
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.62%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 76.70%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/01rko7aQXN
  • Heads Up:🇿🇦 Inflation Rate YoY due at 08:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 4.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-27
  • BoJ states that Break-even level for its ETF holdings is estimated to be around 18,500 for Nikkei stock average $JPY
  • ECB PRESIDENT LAGARDE: - Very hard to forecast how badly the economy has been affected - Very likely that the ECB's mild scenario is out of date, economy is likely somewhere between 'medium' and 'severe' scenarios #EUR #ECB
  • ECB's Lagarde says the ECB's mild growth scenario is already outdated
EURUSD Reacts to Long Term Slope and Fibonacci Levels

EURUSD Reacts to Long Term Slope and Fibonacci Levels

2015-02-06 19:53:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
Share:
  • EURUSD reacts to long term slope and Fibonacci confluence
  • AUDUSD trying to bounce
  • USDCHF median line structure proving useful

--Subscribe to Jamie Saettele's distribution list in order to receive a free report to your inbox thrice a week.

EUR/USD

Weekly

EURUSD Reacts to Long Term Slope and Fibonacci Levels

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-“BIG picture, monthly RSI has broken out of a triangle pattern. Sometimes, a pattern breakout in momentum (or OBV) precedes the breakout in price. The development’s implications are obviously significant.”

-A number of calls for parity have been published recently. While the long term pattern suggests an eventual print near .90, the sudden aggressively bearish calls come just after a record small speculator short position and record open interest in euro futures was recorded in November. The same COT profile was evident in May 2012, before the EURUSD bottomed in July. Aggressive forecasts are often published when it’s comfortable to do so, which means that the trend is embedded in the public consciousness to the point of extremity. The path to .90 or so won’t be smooth (in other words…more 2 way trade). Former support may provide resistance from 1.1640 to 1.2040.

GBP/USD

Weekly

EURUSD Reacts to Long Term Slope and Fibonacci Levels

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-The recent GBPUSD bounce was rejected at channel resistance, which sets the stage for additional weakness towards 1.4812 and possible 1.4550 (measured move).

AUD/USD

Weekly

EURUSD Reacts to Long Term Slope and Fibonacci Levels

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-AUDUSD may be trying to put in a floor of sorts as the rate has held up since putting in a large range and volume reversal on Tuesday. The larger trend remains lower however with resistance estimated at .8030/50. The next potentially important support probably isn’t until the 61.8% retracement of the 2001-2011 rally at .7183.

NZD/USD

Weekly

EURUSD Reacts to Long Term Slope and Fibonacci Levels

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-“NZDUSD traded to the 61.8% retracement of its 3 year range today (.7929) and the next level of interest probably isn’t until the 2013 Labor Day gap at .7722. One can’t help but notice that an epic double top is possible with a target of .5898. That would trigger on a drop below .7370.”

-The large double top triggered so watch for resistance near .7530/50 now.

USD/JPY

Weekly

EURUSD Reacts to Long Term Slope and Fibonacci Levels

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-“USDJPY held up into the New Year and said January decline is underway. A sideways pattern could take hold between roughly 117 and 120.”

-Favor a broad range as 119.80-120.70 as resistance and 116.40-117.10 as support. A move through either one of these zones would usher in larger move towards 124-128 or 110-114.

USD/CAD

Weekly

EURUSD Reacts to Long Term Slope and Fibonacci Levels

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-“USDCAD has pushed through the 2007 high at 1.1875, 61.8% extension of the 2007-2009 rally from the 2011 low at 1.1882, and several upward sloping parallels. The next cluster of technical levels is between 1.25 and 1.2730.”

-USDCAD nearly traded 1.28 on January 30th (the rate put in a top last year on the 31st) and has since retraced everything since 1/23. 1.2180 (38.2% of rally from November low) may provide important support for another rally attempt. Near term, 1.2640 is resistance.

USD/CHF

Weekly

EURUSD Reacts to Long Term Slope and Fibonacci Levels

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-Since banging off of a lower parallel (after SNB), USDCHF has rallied and is just pips from the median line of that structure. The line in question is just pips from the October 2014 low at .9352. Watch for resistance. A reaction targets .8820/30 as support. A move over the mentioned median line opens up .9530/50 (November and December 2014 lows).

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.