We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Forex Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇪🇺EUR: 0.07% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.05% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.01% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.06% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.09% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.09% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/T8ma15KmYS
  • RT @DanielGMoss: #JacindaArdern’s balancing act with China may fuel further gains for the trade-sensitive $NZD $AUDNZD Head and Shoulders…
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.85%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 73.24%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/tUOYKl0cyo
  • Okay so what's China CPI today? Its changed like 3 times on Bloomberg
  • Since the stock market bottomed back in March, the S&P 500 has gone on to climb over 40%. Get your S&P500 market update from @FxWestwater here: https://t.co/Ff7iHAUObN https://t.co/bLO6xva4Fw
  • 🇦🇺 Investment Lending for Homes (MAY) Actual: -15.6% Previous: -4.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-07-09
  • 🇦🇺 Home Loans MoM (MAY) Actual: -10.2% Previous: -5.0% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-07-09
  • 🇨🇳 Inflation Rate MoM (JUN) Actual: -0.1% Expected: 0% Previous: -0.8% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-07-09
  • 🇨🇳 Inflation Rate YoY (JUN) Actual: 2.7% Expected: 2.5% Previous: 2.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-07-09
  • 🇨🇳 PPI YoY (JUN) Actual: -3.7% Expected: -3.2% Previous: -3.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-07-09
NZDUSD Next Leg Lower Around the Corner?

NZDUSD Next Leg Lower Around the Corner?

2014-10-17 19:15:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
Share:

--Subscribe to Jamie Saettele's distribution list in order to receive a free report to your inbox thrice a week.

--Tradingideas are availabletoJ.S. Trade Desk members.

EUR/USD

Monthly

NZDUSD Next Leg Lower Around the Corner?

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-“IF EURUSD trades to a new low while staying below 1.2791 THEN a 5 wave decline from the May high is probably nearing completion. 1.2315/28 would be of interest for a low. IF EURUSD exceeds 1.2791 while staying above 1.2500, THEN expect resistance between 1.2865 and 1.30 and a move to new lows thereafter.” The former scenario is on track so look for a top.

-BIG picture, monthly RSI has broken out of a triangle pattern. Sometimes, a pattern breakout in momentum (or OBV) precedes the breakout in price. The development’s implications are obviously significant.

GBP/USD

Weekly

NZDUSD Next Leg Lower Around the Corner?

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-“GBPUSD has retraced half of the rally from the 2013 low and then some. The top side of the line that extends off of the 2011 and 2013 highs is a level to keep in mind but the next major support level is the November low at 1.5853, followed by the June 2013 high and 61.8% retracement at 1.5720/50. 1.6150-1.6224 is resistance.”

-GBPUSD has followed through on the 10/15 reversal but strong resistance is seen from 1.6160 and 1.6250. The trend is down against 1.6524 and 1.5750 is the next possible support.

AUD/USD

Weekly

NZDUSD Next Leg Lower Around the Corner?

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-“The combination of the .9400 figure and weekly RSI failing near 60 indicates a lot of overhead to punch through. Since the 2011 top, each RSI failure near 60 has led to a top or topping process (range for several weeks then a breakdown...that may be the case now).”

-AUDUSD broke down from a head and shoulders top on 9/9. The target was reached 4 days after the pattern completed. Weakness has extended below the line that extends off of the 2008 and 2014 lows, warning of something much more significant on the downside. .8500 is a possible bounce level.

NZD/USD

Weekly

NZDUSD Next Leg Lower Around the Corner?

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-“Don’t forget about the line that extends off of the 1996 and 2007 highs. That line crosses through the 2008, 2011, and highs as well. In 2011 (record free float high), the rate surged through the line in late July before topping on August 1st. The rate reversed this week from pips below the record high and above the mentioned line.”

-“Above .8534 is needed in order to suggest that at least a minor low is in place. Look lower as long as price is below that level.” The pivot can be lowered to .8169. The February low is now resistance at .8050. The gap from Labor Day 2013 has held as support so far at .7720 but weakness below opens up the October 2009 high at .7634. Ultimately, weakness below .7370 would confirm a double top with an objective of .5898.

USD/JPY

Weekly

NZDUSD Next Leg Lower Around the Corner?

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-“5 waves up from the 2011 low are counted which raises the risk of a sharp reversal lower from the trendline that extends off of the 2001 and 2007 highs. 106.80 and 105.40 are reaction levels (support).” USDJPY dropped into the December high (and 2014 year open) this week, which provided support. Given the significance of the level at the recent top, I’m inclined to look at the short side on strength.

USD/CAD

Monthly

NZDUSD Next Leg Lower Around the Corner?

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-USDCAD traded to its best levels since July 2009 this week but finished in the middle of its range for the week. The close and weak momentum profile casts doubt regarding the validity of the breakout but continue to look higher as long as price is above 1.1080. The rate also encounters potential resistance near 1.1450 from the upward sloping line that connects the October and 2011 and March 2014 highs.

USD/CHF

Monthly

NZDUSD Next Leg Lower Around the Corner?

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Automate trades with Mirror Trader

-USDCHF traded into the .9300-.9430 support zone this week, which may reset the market for another rally attempt. Remember, USDCHF broke above the trendline that extends off of the 2001 and 2010 highs. Like EURUSD, USDCHF monthly RSI broke from a potentially long term basing pattern. As long as .9300 holds, look higher.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.