News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • While @IG_US Client Sentiment is offering a mixed outlook for the S&P 500 and #Dow Jones, these could be at risk to a turn lower based on multiple bearish technical warning signs. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/9kYnq6hH1f https://t.co/YIvXZ76eH1
  • #NOK, #AUD and #NZD are expected to be the most-active #G10 majors versus #USD with one-week implied volatility at 16.33, 12.22 and 12 respectively [delayed] -BBG
  • $DJIA futures carving out a Falling Wedge pattern just above the 200-MA after falling over 8% from the September 3 post-crisis high. $DJI #DowJones Is a recovery in the works? Find out how to trade these patterns and more here: https://www.dailyfx.com/education/technical-analysis-chart-patterns/falling-wedge.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Moss&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/7dfYFgkpub
  • Copper prices may continue to push higher despite a worrying surge in Covid-19 cases and the lack of progress in Congressional stimulus negotiations. Get your #copper market update from @DanielGMoss here:https://t.co/N2OW566nID https://t.co/C33TkPT1vN
  • After some divergence, #EmergingMarkets capital outflows are picking up alongside the selloff in the #SP500 Markets may now be increasingly opening up to the consequences of a slowdown in the US spilling outward given a lack of new fiscal stimulus there - https://t.co/gKEdg1GeeZ https://t.co/I5dAptPjyQ
  • #SP500 futures hurtling towards the 200-MA after breaching Bear Flag support Above-average volume in tandem with the RSI snapping below 40 hints at extension of the recent move Implied measured move suggests price could fall as far as the 3000 level. #ES #SPX https://t.co/VdZKgblp3S https://t.co/hXHOIS1oho
  • Wall Street Futures Update: Dow Jones (-0.266%) S&P 500 (-0.317%) Nasdaq 100 (-0.524%) [delayed] -BBG
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes due at 23:50 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-09-23
  • Silver prices in freefall... https://t.co/g32kz3VLNi
  • #Silver extends losses over 3.1% heading into Thursday's Asia Pacific trading session
AUDUSD Goes Adrift and New EURUSD Trade

AUDUSD Goes Adrift and New EURUSD Trade

2012-08-09 14:35:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
Share:

FXCM Expo Videos

Innovative Techniques with Traditional Technical Indicators

Trading with the Elliott Wave Principle

Seeing the Forest from the Trees: An Analysis of Global Markets

Afternoon Technicals (all charts)

Other TA (crosses, COT, etc.)

The NZDUSD is working out to the downside but a drop below the early month low at 8068 is still needed in order to increase confidence that a top is in place. The AUDUSD on the other hand continues to do nothing. Price has traded at the same level since 8/2. The topping signs are obvious and include repeated failures of 10600 and trendline resistance, key reversals (240 minute bars…in red) and now drastic divergence with RSI (well below 70 and indicative of an exhausted market). The most important indication that a top is near is my own psychology. In my own experience, sleepless nights and simply wanting to give up on the trade idea tend to occur just before the expected move. Understanding your own psychology is paramount in trading. That said, I am flat now after being taken out on the spike above 10605. A drop below yesterday’s low (10530) or an obvious blowoff into the trendline just below 10700 (10680/90) offers the next opportunity.

The EURUSD has actually been a joy to trade on a short term basis recently. It was mentioned in last night’s technical that “daily RSI is rolling over at levels consistent with bearish resumption. Look lower towards at least 12290. Notice that the 4th wave label is moved out in time to allow for a more complex correction, probably as a triangle or flat, from 12041.” Price has bounced from 12290 and resistance for today / tonight is now 12330. I like shorts into 12330 with a stop at 12390 with 12240 and 12140 targets. Pattern wise, a triangle or flat may be underway from 12040.

AUDUSD – 240 Minute Bars

AUDUSD_Goes_Adrift_and_New_EURUSD_Trade__body_audusd.png, AUDUSD Goes Adrift and New EURUSD Trade

Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter @JamieSaettele

To be added to Jamie’s e-mail distribution list, send an e-mail with subject line "Distribution List" to jsaettele@dailyfx.com

Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

Meet the DailyFX team in Las Vegas at the annual FXCM Traders Expo, November 2-4, 2012 at the Rio All Suite Hotel & Casino. For additional information regarding the schedule, workshops and accommodations, visit the FXCM Trading Expo website.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES