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AUDUSD Exceeds May High and Tests Channel

AUDUSD Exceeds May High and Tests Channel

Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist

FXCM Expo Videos

Innovative Techniques with Traditional Technical Indicators

Trading with the Elliott Wave Principle

Seeing the Forest from the Trees: An Analysis of Global Markets

Afternoon Technicals (all charts)

Other TA (crosses, COT, etc.)

The AUDUSD has reached and slightly exceeded the May high (10429) and channel resistance that defines the move over the last month. Still, tops are nearly impossible to spot in real time but the simplest of guidelines can save you from disaster. Large degree turns are much more likely to occur early in the month. The AUDUSD broke through its opening range for July yesterday to the upside, which puts shorts in a precarious position. Make no mistake, the AUDUSD is much closer to an important top than bottom but I don’t want to sit through a move into 10600, which is possible, before the turn. Support is now 10360/80. Near term wave structure suggests a dip there before a move to another high and perhaps a test of the late April high at 10473. A drop below the early July high at 10330 would be needed for me to consider shorting before August.

I remain flat.

AUDUSD – Daily Bars

AUDUSD_Exceeds_May_High_and_Tests_Channel_body_audusd.png, AUDUSD Exceeds May High and Tests Channel

Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

AUDUSD – 60 Minute Bars

AUDUSD_Exceeds_May_High_and_Tests_Channel_body_audusd_1.png, AUDUSD Exceeds May High and Tests Channel

Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter @JamieSaettele

To be added to Jamie’s e-mail distribution list, send an e-mail with subject line "Distribution List" to jsaettele@dailyfx.com

Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

Meet the DailyFX team in Las Vegas at the annual FXCM Traders Expo, November 2-4, 2012 at the Rio All Suite Hotel & Casino. For additional information regarding the schedule, workshops and accommodations, visit the FXCM Trading Expo website.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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