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Taking Advantage of Post NFP EURUSD Decline

Taking Advantage of Post NFP EURUSD Decline

2012-07-06 13:41:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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EURUSD shorts were exited this morning (via Twitter @JamieSaettele) at 12335. This doesn’t mean that I am no longer bearish longer term. It just means that reward/risk is no longer outsized to the downside in my estimation. There are certain trading guidelines that I’ve come to respect and one such guideline is to take advantage of a move on news in your favor, especially after an extended move. A 2.5% decline in 5 days qualifies as an extended move. In fact, this 5 day decline is the largest since 2/29-3/6. The EURUSD rallied sharply for the next 2 days before weakness resumed. At this point, my focus is on returning to the short side as close to 12400 as possible (12150 still of interest if we can return to the short side). Also, it seems that the volume spike called another AUDUSD top.

“THE MARKET(S)” a.k.a. “RISK” SNAPSHOT - 60 Minute Closes

Taking_Advantage_of_Post_NFP_EURUSD_Decline_body_all.png, Taking Advantage of Post NFP EURUSD Decline

Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

EURUSD – Daily Bars

Taking_Advantage_of_Post_NFP_EURUSD_Decline_body_eurusd.png, Taking Advantage of Post NFP EURUSD Decline

Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

EURUSD – 60 Minute Bars

Taking_Advantage_of_Post_NFP_EURUSD_Decline_body_eurusd_1.png, Taking Advantage of Post NFP EURUSD Decline

Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter @JamieSaettele

To be added to Jamie’s e-mail distribution list, send an e-mail with subject line "Distribution List" to jsaettele@dailyfx.com

Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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