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EUR/GBP Intraweek Trading Action is a Game Changer

EUR/GBP Intraweek Trading Action is a Game Changer

2013-02-28 20:09:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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The EURGBP outlook shifts from bullish to bearish in the near term. The outlook determines how one can best construct non-US dollar cross trades. For example, GBPAUD longs are more favorable than EURAUD longs at the current juncture.

Euro / British Pound

Weekly Bars

EURGBP_Intraweek_Trading_Action_is_a_Game_Changer_body_eurgbp.png, EUR/GBP Intraweek Trading Action is a Game Changer

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Are you new to FX or curious about your trading IQ?

FOREXAnalysis: The EURGBP is on the verge of completing a weekly key reversal (and J Spike). The reversal and resistance from the 50% retracement of the decline from the December 2008 high probably caps gains for at least several weeks. In Elliott terms, wave 3 within the 5 wave advance from 7751 is likely complete and a 4th wave is probably underway towards 8445. Weakness below 8575 would complete a near term head and shoulders top (see daily chart below).

FOREX Trading Strategy: Much like AUDNZD, the EURGBP outlook determines how I’ll construct cross trades. While EURCHF and EURAUD remain constructive, the EURGBP outlook suggests that GBPCHF (back to 14535) and GBPAUD longs are probably even better.

Euro / British Pound

Daily Bars

EURGBP_Intraweek_Trading_Action_is_a_Game_Changer_body_eurgbp_1.png, EUR/GBP Intraweek Trading Action is a Game Changer

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Are you new to FX or curious about your trading IQ?

British Pound / Australian Dollar

Weekly Candles

EURGBP_Intraweek_Trading_Action_is_a_Game_Changer_body_gbpaud.png, EUR/GBP Intraweek Trading Action is a Game Changer

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Are you new to FX or curious about your trading IQ?

FOREXAnalysis: Combine AUDUSD breakdown potential and GBPUSD recovery potential and you get a bullish GBPAUD. There’s little need to overcomplicate things at this juncture; the GBPAUD is at the bottom of a 2 and a half year range and is going to complete a weekly key reversal (and J Spike) as long as price closes above 14701 tomorrow.

FOREX Trading Strategy: Long against 14620, target 15180.

Euro / Japanese Yen

Daily Bars

EURGBP_Intraweek_Trading_Action_is_a_Game_Changer_body_eurjpy.png, EUR/GBP Intraweek Trading Action is a Game Changer

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT using Marketscope 2.0

Are you new to FX or curious about your trading IQ?

FOREXAnalysis: Monday’s 5.41% range was the largest 1 day range since the 5/6/10 flash crash’s 8.88% range. Another leg lower is favored as long as price is below 12388 on a daily closing basis (so as not to create overlap). 12225/89 (breakdown level) is resistance (if reached) and levels of the interest on the downside are Fibonacci support at 11724 and the 1/17 low at 11646.

FOREX Trading Strategy: Looking lower for a drop into at least the mid-11700s but then expecting to turn bullish.

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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