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Gold Struggling Below $1250, SPX 500 Trying to Retake 1900 Figure

Gold Struggling Below $1250, SPX 500 Trying to Retake 1900 Figure

2014-10-20 03:50:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Remains in Digestion Mode at Channel Support
  • S&P 500 Attempting to Clear a Path Above 1900 Figure
  • Crude Oil Hints at Bounce, Gold Capped Below $1250/oz

Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices declined as expected after putting in a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. Near-term support is at 10898, marked by a falling channel bottom, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposingthe 38.2% Fibonacci retracementat 10845. Alternatively, a reversal above the channel top at 11052 opens the door for a challenge of 11143, the October 3 high.

Gold Struggling Below $1250, SPX 500 Trying to Retake 1900 Figure

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices recovered after hitting a six-month low, with buyers testing resistance marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1896.50. A daily close above this barrier exposes the 50% level at 1920.50. Alternatively, a turn back below the 23.6% Fib at 1866.90 targets the 14.6% retracement at 1848.60.

Gold Struggling Below $1250, SPX 500 Trying to Retake 1900 Figure

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices advanced as expected after putting in a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. A break above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1244.88 on a daily closing basis exposes the 50% level at 1264.01. Alternatively, a turn below the 23.6% Fib at 1221.20 targets the 14.6% retracement at 1206.61.

Gold Struggling Below $1250, SPX 500 Trying to Retake 1900 Figure

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern, hinting a bounce may be ahead. A break above the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement at 87.67 exposes channel floor support-turned-resistance at 88.88. Near-term support is at 82.88, the October 15 low.

Gold Struggling Below $1250, SPX 500 Trying to Retake 1900 Figure

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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