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Crude Oil, Gold Await Direction Cues as SPX 500 Hits 2-Month Low

Crude Oil, Gold Await Direction Cues as SPX 500 Hits 2-Month Low

2014-10-03 04:52:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Produces First Back-to-Back Losses in Over a Month
  • S&P 500 Taps 2-Month Low as Sellers Fight to Break Support
  • Gold, Crude Oil Await Direction Cues at Familiar Chart Levels

Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices pulled back as expected after putting in a Shooting Star candlestick. A daily close below the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement at 11005 exposes the 23.6% level at 10956. Alternatively, a reversal above the 11048-60 area marked rising trend line support-turned-resistance and the 38.2% Fib expansion clears the way for a test of the 50% threshold at 11108.

Crude Oil, Gold Await Direction Cues as SPX 500 Hits 2-Month Low

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices are testing support at 1941.80, the 76.4% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that exposing a falling channel floor at 1934.90 and the 100% level at 1928.20. Alternatively, a reversal above the 61.8% Fib at 1950.20 aims for the 50% expansion at 1957.10.

Crude Oil, Gold Await Direction Cues as SPX 500 Hits 2-Month Low

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are treading water below resistance at 1221.70, the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement. A break above that on a daily closing basis exposes the 23.6% level at 1232.34. Alternatively, a reversal below the 23.6% Fib expansion at 1203.76 aims for the 38.2% threshold at 1186.80.

Crude Oil, Gold Await Direction Cues as SPX 500 Hits 2-Month Low

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices edged past support at 95.11, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, to challenge falling channel floor support at 93.91. A break below that exposes the 38.2% level at 92.34. Alternatively, a turn back above the 95.11 eyes the 96.73-82 area, marked by the April 18 2013 low and the 14.6% Fib.

Crude Oil, Gold Await Direction Cues as SPX 500 Hits 2-Month Low

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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