Never miss a story from Ilya Spivak

Subscribe to receive daily updates on publications
Please enter valid First Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid Last Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid email
Please fill out this field.
Please select a country

I’d like to receive information from DailyFX and IG about trading opportunities and their products and services via email.

Please fill out this field.

Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox

But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk.

Your demo is preloaded with £10,000 virtual funds, which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets.

We'll email you login details shortly.

Learn More about Your Demo

You are subscribed to Ilya Spivak

You can manage your subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive

An error occurred submitting your form.
Please try again later.

Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Reaches 6-Week High as Recovery Continues
  • S&P 500 Technical Setup Reveals Topping Cues Again
  • Crude Oil Ranging Below 104.00, Gold Inching Lower

Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices continue to advance as expected after putting in a Bullish Engulfing candle pattern at support set from October 2013. Near-term resistance is at 10481, a horizontal pivot in play since April. A daily close above that exposes 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 10513. Alternatively, reversal back below the 23.6% level at 10456 clears the way for a test of a rising trend line set from the July 1 low, now at 10443.

Gold Prices Inching Lower, SPX 500 Chart Setup Shows Bearish Cues

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern, hinting a move lower may be ahead. Negative RSI divergence bolsters the case for a downside scenario. A daily close below rising channel floor support at 1967.00 exposes the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1948.40. Near-term resistance is at 1991.40, the July 24 high.

Gold Prices Inching Lower, SPX 500 Chart Setup Shows Bearish Cues

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are drifting cautiously lower having topped below $1350/oz three weeks ago. Near-term support is in the 1284.95-87.13 area, marked by a falling trend line set from late June and the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion. A break below that on a daily closing basis exposes the 50% level at 1269.22. Alternatively, a reversal above the 23.6% Fib at 1309.20 eyes the 14.6% expansion at 1322.94.

Gold Prices Inching Lower, SPX 500 Chart Setup Shows Bearish Cues

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are consolidating above support at 101.87, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion. A break below that on a daily closing basis exposes the 38.2% level at 100.61. Near-term resistance is at 103.91, the July 18 high, with a move above that eyeing 104.73.

Gold Prices Inching Lower, SPX 500 Chart Setup Shows Bearish Cues

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak