We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Bullish
Gold
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Bitcoin
Mixed
More View more
Gold Looks Vulnerable, SPX 500 Turns Lower on Topping Chart Setup

Gold Looks Vulnerable, SPX 500 Turns Lower on Topping Chart Setup

2014-07-09 05:18:00
Ilya Spivak, Sr. Currency Strategist
Share:

Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Pullback Looks Corrective, Gains Expected
  • S&P 500 Declines After Showing Bearish Chart Pattern
  • Gold at Risk of Downturn, Crude Oil Stalls at Support

Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices rebounded as expected after putting in a Bullish Engulfing candle pattern at support set from October 2013. A shallow pullback looks corrective in the context of the upside breakout. A daily close above resistance at 10431, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, targets the 50% level at 10452. Alternatively, a turn back below the 23.6% Fib at 10405 clears the way for a challenge of the 14.6% retracement at 10389.

Gold Looks Vulnerable, SPX 500 Turns Lower on Topping Chart Setup

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices fell as expected after putting in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern at the top of a rising channel set from mid-April. A break below the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1960.10 on a daily closing basis exposes the 23.6% level at 1944.20. Near-term trend line support-turned-resistance is at 1977.90, followed by the July 3 highat 1985.90.

Gold Looks Vulnerable, SPX 500 Turns Lower on Topping Chart Setup

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are stalling above support at 1311.47, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. This barrier is reinforced by a rising trend line set from early June (1315.30). Negative RSI divergence warns of ebbing upside momentum, hinting a turn lower may be ahead. A break downward on a daily closing basis exposes the 38.2% level at 1297.85. Near-term resistance is at 1333.47, the July 1 high.

Gold Looks Vulnerable, SPX 500 Turns Lower on Topping Chart Setup

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are testing support at 103.19, the 50% Fibonacci retracement, having extended downward after taking out a rising trend line set from the May 1 low. A further push lower sees the next level of support at 102.13, the 61.8% level. Alternatively, a reversal above the 38.2% Fib at 104.24 aims for the 23.6% expansion at 105.54.

Gold Looks Vulnerable, SPX 500 Turns Lower on Topping Chart Setup

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.