We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Heads Up:🇳🇿 NZD N.Z. Government 8-Month Financial Statements due at 21:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-03-30
  • $USDJPY daily pivot points: S3: 105.64 S2: 106.95 S1: 107.46 P: 108.27 R1: 108.77 R2: 109.58 R3: 110.89
  • Commodities Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.42% Gold: -0.34% Silver: -2.90% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/JURRvfA9M7
  • The Mexican Peso could come under further selling pressure and push $USDMXN back above the 25.000 handle. Get your USD/MXN market update from @RichDvorakFX here: https://t.co/nuG3l0YpUW https://t.co/RG5xnr118p
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 95.82%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 71.97%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/VDiXoqXTgf
  • RT @HayekAndKeynes: $198bn of buybacks (equivalent to 27% of ’19 spend) have already been suspended
  • Retail CFD traders at IG are building up their short positions to the highest level I have on my records (stretching only back a year). Nearly a 7 fold increase of the short interest at the start of the year https://t.co/SAmUD2ymIz
  • US Equity Close: $SPX +3.30% $DJI +3.07% $NDX +3.62% $RUT +1.10% $VIX -8.93
  • Indices Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: 0.91% France 40: 0.53% US 500: -0.12% Wall Street: -0.13% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/uRmj2JayN8
  • S&P 500 Continues Recovery, NFP Looms Large for US Data https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/session_briefing/daily_fundamentals/2020/03/30/ES-SPY-SPX-SP500-Continues-Recovery-NFP-Looms-Large-JS.html https://t.co/SZLy1nqPaz
US Dollar Range Holding, SPX 500 Rally May Be Losing Steam

US Dollar Range Holding, SPX 500 Rally May Be Losing Steam

2014-03-05 23:07:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
Share:

Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Still Consolidating Above Familiar Trend Support
  • S&P 500 Bullish Momentum Might Be Starting to Dissipate
  • Crude Oil Turns Lower as Expected, Gold Prices May Follow

Can’t access to the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices are still struggling to find direction, with trading locked in a narrow consolidation range above support at a rising trend line set from September 2012. A break above resistance at 10614, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, initially exposes the 38.2% level at 10673. Trend line support is now at 10559, with a reversal below that eyeing the February 17 low at 10520.

Forex_US_Dollar_Range_Holding_SPX_500_Rally_May_Be_Losing_Steam_body_Picture_5.png, US Dollar Range Holding, SPX 500 Rally May Be Losing Steam

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices recovered above the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 1863.60 to test rising channel top resistance at 1879.40. This barrier is reinforced by the 38.2% level at 1881.30. A break above the latter boundary exposes the 50% Fib at 1895.70. Emerging negative RSI divergence warns of ebbing bullish momentum and hints a turn lower may be ahead however. Sliding back below 1863.60 opens the door for another test of the channel floor, now at 1847.40.

Forex_US_Dollar_Range_Holding_SPX_500_Rally_May_Be_Losing_Steam_body_Picture_6.png, US Dollar Range Holding, SPX 500 Rally May Be Losing Steam

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern below resistance at a falling trend line set from April 2013, hinting a turn lower may be ahead. Negative RSI divergence bolsters the case for a downside scenario. Breaking below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1313.14 exposes the 38.2% level at 1287.48. Trend line resistance is now at 1356.08.

Forex_US_Dollar_Range_Holding_SPX_500_Rally_May_Be_Losing_Steam_body_Picture_7.png, US Dollar Range Holding, SPX 500 Rally May Be Losing Steam

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices turned lower as expected after forming a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. Sellers have moved to challenge support at 101.73, the December 27 high, a barrier reinforced by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 99.85. A break below the latter level exposes the 50% Fib at 98.20. Alternatively, a turn back above the 23.6% retracement at 101.89 eyes rising trend line support-turned-resistance at 103.15.

Forex_US_Dollar_Range_Holding_SPX_500_Rally_May_Be_Losing_Steam_body_Picture_8.png, US Dollar Range Holding, SPX 500 Rally May Be Losing Steam

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.